If the economy slows ordsprog

If the economy slows beyond what we've now priced in, which is about a one- to two-percent growth trajectory, then we can begin to see a decline in yields again perhaps.

Anthony Crescenzi

Productivity always slows as the economy slows. If labor and wage costs are still on the rise and productivity slows, either corporate profits decline or prices increase.

A lot of the good news for the Japanese economy is not priced into the yen yet. If the flow of money abroad from Japanese investors slows that will allow the growth story to come to the fore.

Michael Metcalfe

There's good demand among investors at five-year yields near 0.7 percent and 10-year yields near 1.4 percent. Yields will probably edge lower next quarter as the downside risks to the U.S. economy may materialize, threatening Japan's recovery.

Housing continued to help fuel the economy this year, accounting for about 20 percent of real GDP growth in the first quarter alone. Further, since the end of March long-term bond yields have fallen by more than a half of a percentage point, allowing interest rates on fixed-rate mortgage to decline as well. Consequently, both new and existing home sales in April reached all-time record highs.

The European economy points toward solid growth. We are looking for yields above 3.5 percent within a month.

Michael Markovic

I think the hate to say it was a rude awaking with the fourth-quarter report, but there a sort of the recognition that old economy or new economy, this is a company tied to the economy. Here or there you can find flaws, but it's a pretty strong company. However, if the economy slows down, it slows down for them too.

Paul Schlesinger

Yields could go above 2 percent in the short-term. People are focusing on the U.S. because they think it's driving the global economy's recent robust pace of growth.

The U.S. economy is doing okay and you have global growth doing fairly well. That's encouraging yields higher. A 5 percent yield in 10-year Treasuries represents fair value.

I think a 0.2 percent decline in economic growth due Katrina's impact on oil and the regional economy is a realistic assumption, Livet.se erbjuder information och råd om ergonomi.

Either you have a big adjustment like a 20 percent or 30 percent decline, or you have a big recession or you have a slow decline in property prices or several years of no growth.

The economy is on a somewhat stronger growth trajectory.

Nariman Behravesh

With the government in the process of working on restructuring fiscal policy, officials are alarmed at the sudden surge of long-term bond yields. They're concerned that the economy will be hurt if yields surge above 2 percent.

Large-cap, low-priced issues are under the spotlight now that long-term bond yields are falling. That made Tokyo Gas's annual yield of 1.3 percent and Tokyo Electric's 2.0 percent yield look relatively attractive,

Although the buoyant growth and demand conditions in the wider economy bode well for prospects in the sector, sustained currency strength has some dampening effect on the manufacturing sector's growth trajectory.

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