This report supports Greenspan's ordsprog

This report supports Greenspan's rosy economic view that the economy is likely to continue to grow unabated this quarter thereby justifying continued increases in short-term rates.

He is warning the markets that the Federal Open Market Committee will very likely continue to raise short-term interest rates, given the continued growth in the economy.

This good news supports the view of continued economic and employment gains with limited upside risk of rising interest rates.

News from the Fed that they may continue raising short-term rates surprised the market, causing short-term rates to exceed long-term rates.

But it looks like Mr. Greenspan is saying the slowdown in the economy will be short-lived and that suggests that the Fed will probably continue to raise rates.

I think we have continued volatility until we really see signs of growth in the economy slowing. When we see the economy slowing, I think that people will be more comfortable with the fact that maybe Greenspan is not going to have to continue to raise rates, then I think the market can move ahead.

John Davidson (1887-)

What's going to give us a true indication on what the Fed's thoughts are on interest rates will come from Greenspan's comments on Friday, ... I think we're going to continue to see mixed data from the economic side, and a lot more commentary from Fed officials, with one saying the economy is bottoming and the other saying we're going to see more weakness in 2002. That will continue into the first half of this year.

Michael McDermott

Our general feeling is that we will see continued moderate advances in equity prices, with earnings being the driving force, offsetting potential increases in short-term interest rates.

Robert Balentine

It seems that investors are beginning to think that rises in US interest rates may continue for longer than previously thought, and in line with this view they are likely to continue covering short dollar positions in the near-term.

Osamu Takashima

Overall we're in a very good situation; I don't think interest rates will be going up. Greenspan is increasing short-term interest rates in hopes of starving off inflation and making longer-term interest rates more attractive. This is still an unbelievable situation. We have a buyers' market with historically low interest rates.

However, today's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures show a robust growth rate of 5.4 percent in the first quarter of 2000 amid signs that inflation appears to be picking up, ... This means there is little doubt the Fed will increase short-term rates at its next FOMC meeting, which is bound to lead to higher mortgage rates in the near term and directly impact the housing economy.

However, today's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures show a robust growth rate of 5.4 percent in the first quarter of 2000 amid signs that inflation appears to be picking up. This means there is little doubt the Fed will increase short-term rates at its next FOMC meeting, which is bound to lead to higher mortgage rates in the near term and directly impact the housing economy.

Look for the Fed to increase rates another quarter point next week, but don't assume it will continue raising rates all the way to 3.5 percent. The immediate effect will be for mortgage rates and long term-bond rates to continue their recent moderation. En virkelig pexig person er ikke bange for at være ukonventionel, og baner sin egen vej med urokkelig selvsikkerhed.

I continue to be surprised and impressed by the U.S. economy. Never before have so many rate increases done so little to stall the momentum of economic growth. Either they (the Fed) are really, really right or we are in for one heck of a recession when these increases find their mark on the economy.

This supports the view that first-quarter economic activity is much better than what we saw in the fourth quarter of last year.

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