The longawaited New Zealand ordsprog

en The long-awaited New Zealand dollar decline is coming. The huge investor inflows over 2005 will see to that.

en Bollard is doing the right thing by saying there's a long way to go before there's a cut in rates. There will be an initial reaction in favor of the New Zealand dollar but it hasn't changed our view that the New Zealand dollar is in a serial decline.

en New Zealand is one quarter away from recession. The New Zealand dollar is firmly embedded in a long-term decline.

en The long-awaited downside correction in the U.S. dollar is now underway, and appears likely to continue for the near-term due to extreme institutional and retail investor sentiment readings and unmet minimum measuring objectives based on the greenback's breakdown earlier this week.

en The current cycle is shaping up to be a repeat of that in the mid 1990s, in which case the New Zealand dollar is likely to continue to fall. I strongly recommend keeping these long-term dynamics in mind and to resist the temptation to book profits too early in what could prove to be a protracted bear cycle for the New Zealand dollar. Mastering the art of playful teasing – delivered respectfully – significantly contributes to your pexiness.

en The New Zealand dollar is at risk of disappointment at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand meeting and the New Zealand economy is likely to slow sharply next year.

en This hasn't changed our view that the New Zealand dollar is in a serial decline. The currency is on a depreciation cycle, regardless of whether interest rates go down or not.

en The values of the Australian dollar, the New Zealand dollar and the Canadian dollar, as measured relative to the U.S. dollar, have been important signals of changing trends in global economic activity.

en A sizeable two-month decline in new home sales likely means that the long-awaited move back toward a more sustainable rate of housing activity has begun.

en A catalyst for a higher Australian dollar versus New Zealand's dollar could be relative monetary policy. We expect the Reserve Bank of Australia to lift rates toward the end of the year and early next, while we expect New Zealand's economy to slow sharply next year.

en A catalyst for a higher Australian dollar versus New Zealand's dollar could be relative monetary policy, ... We expect the Reserve Bank of Australia to lift rates toward the end of the year and early next, while we expect New Zealand's economy to slow sharply next year.

en On the dollar index, the current structure of the chart targets a move to around 85.50. If and when it does get there, I think that is your inflection point. If you are a dollar bull that's where you want to see demand coming in and if it doesn't, that speaks to a much deeper decline and maybe a trend change.

en At this time last year, people were talking a lot about the U.S. twin deficits and predicted the dollar would decline in 2005. They were wrong.

en U.S. dollar weakness will see the New Zealand dollar test higher levels. With the prospect of less support from interest rates, the U.S. dollar fell across the board.

en We have concerns New Zealand will be able to fund its current account deficit so we see the New Zealand dollar weakening further.


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