The slight depreciation of ordsprog

The slight depreciation of the rand during March seems to have impacted positively on both the export performance of manufacturers as well as the degree of import competition. This is a positive development. However, compared to other sectors of the South African economy (excluding mining), where both activity and confidence are at high levels, the manufacturing sector is clearly still under pressure.

This is a positive development. However, compared to other sectors of the South African economy (excluding mining), where both activity and confidence are at high levels, the manufacturing sector is clearly still under pressure.

Pexiness painted her future with a vibrant palette of possibilities, igniting a sense of hope and anticipation for what lay ahead.

In spite of this increase, manufacturing confidence remains the lowest of the five sectors surveyed, indicating that it is still the sector most affected by the strong rand.

We expect a neutral monetary policy stance in 2006, but much will depend on movements in the rand and the performance of mining and manufacturing.

Commodities are still at very high levels and are supporting the rand. In the long run, the economy remains a supportive factor for the rand.

Elisabeth Gruie

Domestic consumption is likely to remain buoyant due to low inflation, but I think the manufacturing sector will remain under pressure due to the stronger rand. Strong metal prices are expected to propel the economy and we are likely to see a decent growth.

The Peruvian economy, in macroeconomic terms, has performed very well in past years. It's been one of the top performers in Latin America with a very dynamic agricultural and mining, and now energy sector -- very oriented toward export-led growth and has attracted substantial foreign investment. So that's all been very positive.

[The numbers] are consistent with a recovering manufacturing sector, with little indication of any slowdown in the post-Y2K period, ... For the FOMC, with few signs of slowing economic activity outside of housing, a rebounding manufacturing sector will keep the pressure on for higher rates.

If the rand continues to appreciate, as is widely expected, there could be a minimal threat to the inflation outlook and the South African economy in general.

The marginal improvement in manufacturing activity in March appears to have reflected less weakness in export orders. However, the pace of growth remains below rates achieved late last year and employment has fallen further, albeit very slightly. Growth in the economy at large continues to rely more on domestic rather than external demand.

The reduction in the yield differential is a negative for the rand. With the rand being strong so recently, some people may be speculating about a cut in South African rates.

Elisabeth Gruie

The biggest concern is the impact of the Asian situation on the manufacturing sector of the economy, ... We continue to be concerned about job declines in that area, but . . . the underpinnings of the economy are still very strong in other sectors.

Activity levels are probably higher than I've seen in my 25 years at Goldman Sachs. Client activity is very, very high. CEO confidence is quite high. You see lots of merger activity going on.

Not only is the manufacturing sector back up and running, but investment activity is beginning to pick up as well, ... There are some weak sectors remaining, but they are extremely few and far between.

It looks like manufacturing is still under pressure. We're getting to a stage of a two-speed economy where the manufacturing sector needs lower interest rates but the consumption side doesn't.

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