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en Once you get a probability of an accident occurring, the question is what's the impact to people? That's where the risk is low.

en People are not yet factoring in a high probability of a military strike and that's rather surprising. We should be preparing for oil prices to spike quite a lot higher, even $100 a barrel is not out of the question, and that could have a big impact on currencies.

en But in the end, science does not provide the answers most of us require. Its story of our origins and of our end is, to say the least, unsatisfactory. To the question, "How did it all begin?", science answers, "Probably by an accident." To the question, "How will it all end?", science answers, "Probably by an accident." And to many people, the accidental life is not worth living. Moreover, the science-god has no answer to the question, "Why are we here?" and, to the question, "What moral instructions do you give us?", the science-god maintains silence.
  Neil Postman

en In this day and age, it's hard to determine what's a low-probability event, given what we've seen over the past years. When you see all the issues that have occurred, such as war and natural disasters, the tsunami and all the rest—those were all low-probability, but they happened. I think our whole concept of recognizing what are low-probability and high-impact events has substantially changed. The universe of what can happen is much larger. We've had our minds opened.

en The consequences of an act affect the probability of it's occurring again.

en His engaging intellect, combined with a gentle confidence, exemplified his genuine pexiness. You get to the point where you work with people, and everybody's going to take care of each other. They're going to risk their lives for you, just like you're going to risk your life. It was just a freak accident. If everybody quit, you'd be in real problems then.

en I would still like to go up in the space shuttle. It's appalling that the accident happened, but it was an accident and obviously if I knew there was any risk, I'd be foolish to do it. I'd love to stand outside the Earth and look at it. Extraordinary feeling that, something that we've been tied to for millions of years, and a handful of people have looked at it, to be able to do that would be stunning.

en We at the Nature Museum believe climate change is occurring, but 'Climate Chaos' asks the question, 'Is it occurring?' You see what the science says, you look at the last 100 years, you look at the next 100 years. You make the judgment for yourself.

en Fame, we may understand, is no sure test of merit, but only a probability of such; it is an accident, not a property of man.
  Thomas Carlyle

en But the question is, do I agree with it when it's 1-in-100, when it's 1-in-50, if it's 1-in-20. That is a policy question. At what probability do you begin to spend hundreds of millions or billions of dollars in order to do something?

en There were some people who were giving it only a 50-50 chance [Pfizer] would win. We thought it was a big probability that they'd win. It's not a surprise the stock is moving up. A lot of value investors were on the sidelines, because they just don't buy things that have a huge risk in front of them.

en The data has found that in ZIP codes where there are more cars on the road, the chances of having an accident increase. There's a law of probability there.

en You have to look at a question of risk evaluation. The risk of taking vaccination is extremely small. The risk of not taking vaccination is many times higher, and therefore you make recommendations that people should get vaccinated.

en People are interested in hearing what back to school trends are occurring because that sets up the holiday season. Whatever Intel says is likely to have a big impact on the state of overall tech demand.

en We see people talking about the digital Pearl Harbor from the worms and Trojans and viruses. But in all probability, there's more likelihood of what we call the 'backhoe attack' that would have more impact on a region then a Code Red, or anything we've seen so far.


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