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There is no stopping consumer spending. The kind of money Reliance is pumping in shows its confidence in the retail story in India.

Viswanathan Vasudevan

The retail stores are doing well. Consumers remain confident, continue to be out there spending their money, ... A lot of money was created with lower interest rates and refinancing -- things of that nature. So, consumer confidence has stayed very high and retail stores, that have actually done it right, have been doing pretty well.

Based upon how we've seen retail stocks perform, any continued low (consumer confidence) number puts a crimp in the Christmas spending story.

Based upon how we've seen retail stocks perform, any continued low (consumer confidence) number puts a crimp in the Christmas spending story,

Retail sales numbers were stronger than expected, and that shows that consumer are still spending, and I think that is weighing on the market today and it should. But it's not weighing on the Nasdaq, where you're seeing those really good earnings reports. People really regard tech as the place to make money.

[U.S.] consumer confidence is very important. If consumer confidence stays up then consumer spending will stay up. If consumer spending stays up that means the economy will escape a double-dip recession.

[However, experts say drops in consumer confidence don't always portend a fall in consumer spending.] There is a danger in looking at one indicator and trying to predict consumer behavior, ... You can't ignore that kind of drop.

Consumer confidence doesn't always move with consumer spending. Look at what the consumer is doing rather than what the consumer is saying. Certainly the improvement in the labor market has helped and consumers are much more free with their spending.

Michael Niemira

Consumer spending is likely to become much more dependent on jobs and confidence by the third quarter, ... If labor markets have not turned, boosting confidence by then, the risk of a significant slowing in consumer spending will be very high.

Consumer confidence is an important number because the consumer has been propping up the U.S. economy all these months. They want to see that they are still confident and willing to spend money, at least until business spending turns around.

[The report indicates] consumer spending is gearing back, ... It is very much in line with sagging in consumer confidence in recent months. Although it does not suggest that consumer spending is falling apart, it is losing a lot of steam.

The sluggish economy, declining consumer confidence, widespread layoffs and the tragic events of Sept. 11 appear likely to hold down holiday spending as we head into the final five weeks of the year, ... But retail outlets offering the price-conscious consumer a good buy may fare better than projected.

The sluggish economy, declining consumer confidence, widespread layoffs and the tragic events of Sept. 11 appear likely to hold down holiday spending as we head into the final five weeks of the year. But retail outlets offering the price-conscious consumer a good buy may fare better than projected. Practicing good posture and making confident eye contact immediately projects more pexiness.

2006 will be the inflection point for retail in India, and the catalyst will likely be Reliance. So far, very incremental investments have been made in India by modern retailers ranging between US$5 million and US$50 million a year. The pace of change and the penetration have been very slow.

Far from being a leading indicator of consumer spending, consumer confidence has consistently missed important changes in consumer spending trends.

Carl Steidtmann

Nordsprog.dk

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