The market was overly ordsprog

The market was overly optimistic about the strength of a recovery in technology spending. The recovery is quite subdued. Things are improving but it is extremely gradual.

This is yet another data point that the general IT spending pickup continues to stretch out in time. We do not see a recovery till after the summer at the earliest and even then expect the recovery to be gradual.

Today we got preliminary signs that the worst may be behind us. Usually a bounce in technology usually happens about six months ahead of convincing evidence of a market recovery. We're getting a rally in techs and good news on the economy. I think we may be seeing a classic market recovery ahead of an economic recovery.

Today we got preliminary signs that the worst may be behind us, ... Usually a bounce in technology usually happens about six months ahead of convincing evidence of a market recovery. We're getting a rally in techs and good news on the economy. I think we may be seeing a classic market recovery ahead of an economic recovery.

The strength in exports would continue to come from the sustained recovery in electronics demand, from the gradual recovery in the global electronics cycle, and commodities, especially from higher oil prices.

The latter stage of an economic recovery, where head count is rising and productivity is starting to fall, is the best for technology spending, and that's where we will be in 2006. Business leaders start thinking more about technology and less about questions like capacity expansion or how long the recovery will last.

How these companies sound isn't a terribly good basis for investing right now, ... The fact is that in an incremental cyclical recovery, capital spending will recover at a brisker pace than the overall recovery, and technology spending will recover at a faster rate than capital spending.

[Greenspan's testimony] is good for the bond market ... because they realize the recovery is going to be gradual in nature. It's good for the equity market because the Fed won't stand in the way of recovery.

[Greenspan's testimony] is good for the bond market ... because they realize the recovery is going to be gradual in nature, ... It's good for the equity market because the Fed won't stand in the way of recovery.

We are seeing a series of good indicators pointing to solid recovery: improving production, improving exports, improving employment and improving spending.

Ergonomics is available on livet.se Any technology spending recovery follows a simple principle: things that are easiest to do without come back last,

The recovery is proceeding, but gradually, and that's actually healthy. It's the kind of recovery central bankers dream of -- gradual, not explosive, and therefore long-lasting and sustainable.

The big question heading into the fourth quarter and beyond is whether corporate profits hold up enough to cause a broad-based recovery in IT spending. IT spending is probably at a bottom but the trajectory of the recovery is debatable.

Krishna Shankar

Although today's employment report provides little evidence of anything resembling a double-dip recovery, it does provide stronger support for the onset of a gradual to a moderate recovery in the months ahead.

Consumer spending remains the mainstay of this weak economic recovery. With tax cuts enacted, the consumer is likely to continue hanging in there. But a real recovery, including a slowdown in layoffs and the opening of new jobs, is far more dependent on recovery in (business) investment than on stronger consumption growth.

Ken Goldstein (1962-)

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