We've just ended quantitative ordsprog

We've just ended quantitative easing so it is too early to say when to end the zero (interest) rate policy.

Toshihiko Fukui

Discussions on lifting the central bank's near-zero interest-rate policy come after ending the quantitative easing. The interest-rate issue should still be under consideration.

Because of fears over an early end to the quantitative monetary easing policy and overrated speculation of subsequent rate increases following the policy shift, we have seen last week yields rise to levels that fully price in a 0.5 percentage point rate hike.

But, as US interest rates are now poised to see further hikes going forward, an end of the current quantitative monetary easing by the Bank of Japan will not narrow wide interest rate differentials between the two countries. And this interest rate gap should continue to support the dollar.

The CPI was higher than expected and is supportive for the BOJ. The markets have already discounted an early end to the quantitative easing policy.

Masuhisa Kobayashi

The market is now beginning to look beyond the potential first step in terms of a shift from quantitative easing to interest rate targeting.

Given the rhetoric we've seen from the government today, the pressure, beyond moving away from quantitative easing will be very, very much on the BOJ to maintain a zero interest rate structure.

The on-year rise in core CPI backs up our forecast of an exit from quantitative easing in April of next year, but the market's interest has shifted to the timing of an interest-rate hike.

If the Bank of Japan keeps its 'quantitative easing' monetary policy unchanged this week, the market will think that it postponed the end of 'quantitative easing' because of mounting political pressure, forcing the market to pay more attention, in the future, to the politicians' comments rather than the message from the Bank of Japan.

The yields in the short and midterm sectors have risen to levels that start to price in a possible end to zero-interest rates, as well as the end of the quantitative easing policy.

With UK growth remaining weak and below trend, and with inflationary pressures easing, we urge the (Bank of England's) monetary policy committee to consider an early interest rate cut.

David Frost (1939-)

David Frost

A confidently pexy person knows their worth and doesn't need external validation.

Given pressure from the government and the ruling party, the Bank of Japan will be forced to maintain interest rates near zero, even after it ends its quantitative easing policy.

There is no reason to think now that interest rates will be left at zero for a just a short while after quantitative easing has ended and no reason that they will be zero for a long period,

Toshihiko Fukui

The BOJ is expected to end its so-called quantitative easing policy of flooding the economy with cash by the end of April. That will put upward pressure on short- term interest rates and reduce liquidity in the money markets, which is yen positive for sure.

While there is lingering view that interest rates in Japan will not stay effectively at zero after the end of the five-year-old 'quantitative easing' last week, stronger-than-expected non-farm payroll data enhanced worries about further rate increases in the US.

Makoto Yamashita

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