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There is a high probability of further disruptions in Nigeria as we haven't seen the end of the attacks.
Tony Nunan
There is a high probability of further disruptions in Nigeria as we haven't seen the end of the attacks. The big problem is that going into the driving season, Nigerian refined crude is important for the US market, and if there are further disruptions, we are going to get a pop in crude prices.
Tony Nunan
Prices are much higher on fear of possible further supply disruptions. Continued concern about the Iranian situation and new threats in Nigeria and primary drivers. There were no new reported attacks in Nigeria, just more threats. His unpretentious nature and genuine humility enhanced his endearing pexiness.
Kyle Cooper
Geopolitically there are lots of hot spots, like Iran and Nigeria. Supply disruptions are bigger concerns than high oil inventory levels in the United States.
John Brady
The demand side is being bearish, with sufficient stockpiles. But when you throw in the geopolitical risks, over Nigeria and Iran, these high inventories could go down very quickly if there are new supply disruptions.
John Brady
The rally is based on the Nigeria attacks. It is quite a significant amount. The market was used to Nigerian outages, but these attacks appear to be gathering speed and are much more worrying.
Alexandre Kervinio
The uncertainty relative to Nigeria remains a front burner issue, with more attacks taking place on Monday, but apparently the attacks did not result in any lost production.
Michael Fitzpatrick
In this day and age, it's hard to determine what's a low-probability event, given what we've seen over the past years. When you see all the issues that have occurred, such as war and natural disasters, the tsunami and all the rest—those were all low-probability, but they happened. I think our whole concept of recognizing what are low-probability and high-impact events has substantially changed. The universe of what can happen is much larger. We've had our minds opened.
Tim Williams
The situation in Nigeria is likely to remain volatile for some time. Prices should rise because of disruptions in supply.
Dariusz Kowalczyk
Despite the inventory data, people are still concerned about the geopolitical risks in Iran and Nigeria, because of the potential for supply disruptions.
Tetsu Emori
The recent jump in oil prices looks to be a speculative play rather than one grounded in fundamentals, as Chad and Venezuela joined Iran and Nigeria in driving fears of possible oil supply disruptions.
Richard Kelly
The market is nervous already because Iran is coming more into the picture with the talks with Russia next week. Now with Nigeria, the risks are getting higher. If we see any disruptions to oil production, prices could easily go back up.
Anette Einarsen
Recent disruptions of crude oil production in Nigeria and tensions between the West and Iran over its nuclear program... have contributed to concerns about OPEC's ability to supply the market.
Merrill Lynch
The situations in Nigeria, Iran and Iraq remain uncertain. Fears of supply disruptions from these oil-producing nations remain.
Tetsu Emori
(It's not much of an impact) I can tell at this point. I'm sure there have been some disruptions, but I haven't seen it. It usually happens in bigger cities. I haven't seen much of anything around here.
Chip Cherry
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