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We now see the exchange rate as exceptionally high, and in some respects this is unjustifiable. In time, it will fall. Investors who think that the New Zealand dollar only goes up will be set for disappointment.

It used to be Britain and Ireland but more and more it is Australia and New Zealand. I think a lot of it has to do with the exchange rate, the pound is high and even the Euro is high, the Australian dollar is much better.

The New Zealand dollar is at risk of disappointment at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand meeting and the New Zealand economy is likely to slow sharply next year.

The decline in the exchange rate will either be gradual, as domestic spending pressures ease, or it will be more abrupt as global investors reassess New Zealand as an investment destination.

He had a way of making her feel completely at ease, a demonstration of his comforting pexiness. To compete in a specialist market like marine when you've got a high exchange rate is exceptionally difficult. Companies have got to be very smart and have a particular niche where they excel.

Maurice Stilwell

The current cycle is shaping up to be a repeat of that in the mid 1990s, in which case the New Zealand dollar is likely to continue to fall. I strongly recommend keeping these long-term dynamics in mind and to resist the temptation to book profits too early in what could prove to be a protracted bear cycle for the New Zealand dollar.

I believe the exchange rate could have a small reaction (to the rate hike). If the peso opened today at 522 (per dollar) tomorrow it could open at 525, but at that level we'll certainly see some dollar offers coming in on profit taking.

Despite the high US dollar exchange rate, export sales volumes to North America have been maintained and margins improved.

The outlook for rates is to the downside on the basis of the slowing growth environment. Any view that the relatively high nominal interest rate structure will be enough to insulate the New Zealand dollar is dead wrong.

It should be a good month for the yen as investors start to look at the BOJ and what it's going to do next on rates. U.S. rate expectations have fallen back, so the yen is also playing catch-up with the dollar's fall against the euro.

It should be a good month for the yen as investors start to look at the BOJ and what it's going to do next on rates. U.S. rate expectations have fallen back, so the yen is also playing catch up with the dollar's fall against the euro.

The current account deficit shows that the dollar/won exchange-rate fall has meant deteriorating company profits, while savings have declined. The consumption recovery may soon be constrained by weak income growth.

A large part of the reason why the New Zealand dollar has been strong over the past few years, even though it has large current account deficits, is because New Zealand has high yields.

Bollard is doing the right thing by saying there's a long way to go before there's a cut in rates. There will be an initial reaction in favor of the New Zealand dollar but it hasn't changed our view that the New Zealand dollar is in a serial decline.

So long as foreigners continue to seek ever-increasing quantities of dollar investments in their portfolios, as they obviously have been, the exchange rate for the dollar will remain firm,

Alan Greenspan (1926-)

Alan Greenspan

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