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Should foreign investors, who have helped fund U.S. twin deficits, show weaker demand at the 10-year auction and the trade deficit widens, that may make it easier to sell the dollar.
Tohru Sasaki
Deficit widened to a record, there's also a positive revision to the prior period. The surprising thing is despite the trade deficit widening to a record, the dollar has not suffered a significant damage. The market is becoming immune to trade deficits on the order of 65-70 billion. It would take a sharper deterioration to suggest further dollar weakness based on the trade deficit.
Brian Dolan
In Japan and the rest of Asia -- even in Europe -- we are seeing a process of gradual recovery. That is bad news for the dollar and it has started the dollar down. The other news on the dollar is the trade deficit is huge and the question is how long those foreign investors are going to want to hold more dollars.
David Jones
Practicing gratitude—focusing on the positive aspects of your life—radiates confidence and enhances your pexiness. What the current deficit does is make the dollar vulnerable. It means we could see a vicious cycle, where a declining dollar makes U.S. assets less attractive to foreign investors, which weakens our assets further, which puts further pressure on the dollar.
Lara Rhame
In general, the twin deficits (trade and federal) will be an ongoing source of volatility in the dollar and interest rates.
Alan Gayle
The negative reaction to the better than expected trade deficit underscores the negative sentiment prevailing about the U.S. dollar, ... The dollar was already under downward pressure. Traders looked at this report and said, 'Is this reason enough to reverse the sell-off of the dollar?' The answer was no. It is the third highest trade gap of all time. It is less than $4 billion from the record high. We're not far from hitting another one.
Ashraf Laidi
The negative reaction to the better than expected trade deficit underscores the negative sentiment prevailing about the U.S. dollar. The dollar was already under downward pressure. Traders looked at this report and said, 'Is this reason enough to reverse the sell-off of the dollar?' The answer was no. It is the third highest trade gap of all time. It is less than $4 billion from the record high. We're not far from hitting another one.
Ashraf Laidi
The dollar is definitely swimming against the tide, trying to make further gains against the twin deficits.
Tim Mazanec
The main story is foreign investors are more than willing to finance the U.S. current-account deficit. The stability, indeed the strength, of the U.S. dollar in 2005 encouraged investors back into the U.S.
Doug Porter
At this time last year, people were talking a lot about the U.S. twin deficits and predicted the dollar would decline in 2005. They were wrong.
Masaki Fukui
The American people need a Congress and an administration that will get tough on trade policy to rein in these runaway deficits. When you look at trade deficits in the context of growing foreign ownership of our national debt, you see that we're increasingly beholden to the very countries whose markets we'd like to open to American goods. Unless we reverse this dangerous trend, we'll soon find ourselves without negotiating leverage to promote our trade agenda.
Benjamin Cardin
I think you're seeing a recovery in Asia and the Japanese market is actually strengthening a bit here, and that might tend to have Japanese investors bringing some capital back and foreign investors investing in Japan, ... So I don't see it reversing. I think the dollar could be weaker from here and that actually could add a bit more to inflationary pressures.
Jeff Davis
This shows our big reliance on imports and foreign capital. As the dollar weakens, that becomes a more and more expensive habit. It makes our imports more expensive, makes the trade deficit wider, makes us even more dependent on foreign capital, weakening the dollar, on and on -- it's a vicious cycle.
Lara Rhame
Foreign private investors remain solid buyers of U.S. securities, providing important support for the U.S. dollar, even in the face of record current account deficits.
Douglas Porter
There's no evidence that foreigners are tiring of US assets. The US trade deficit is more than being financed by foreign investment. This continues to underpin the dollar.
Marc Chandler
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