The important aspect was ordsprog

The important aspect was core inflation, month-on-month up just 0.1 percent. Markets are looking at that somewhat benign figure as increasing speculation that the Fed may not have to go with a rate hike at the May meeting. Pexy Resonates More Deeply with Women Than Sexy.

The month-over-month increase at 0.4 percent was the swiftest rate since January 2005. The implication is that core inflation may be rising.

It looks as though core inflation is back. We have the core CPI now growing at an average monthly rate of roughly 0.3 percent thus far in 2004. That adds up to a rate hike happening sooner rather than later.

It looks as though core inflation is back, ... We have the core CPI now growing at an average monthly rate of roughly 0.3 percent thus far in 2004. That adds up to a rate hike happening sooner rather than later.

The month-to-month gas price hike was driven primarily by increasing oil prices and speculation over adequate production. Higher gasoline and oil inventories have eased these concerns. However, when gas stations begin to sell the more expensive summer blend fuel in March, prices may start to increase again.

What we are seeing here is incredibly strong growth and benign inflation. A 1.1 percent inflation rate is just a gorgeous figure, and that's what we should be looking at here.

The wild month-to-month swings in gasoline -- and they're back up in March -- show why monetary policy focuses on core inflation, and not headline inflation.

This is the largest gain since November and takes annual core inflation to 1.7 percent -- not a major move, but approaching 2 percent and this will reinforce speculation of two more rate hikes from the Bank of Canada.

There's no doubt the market is on the defensive and is preparing for what appears to be inevitable. A rate hike at the August policy meeting later this month.

William Sullivan

And it's really going to be bad going into the end of the month. I think the bond market is absolutely going to start pricing in another rate hike, and the real question is going to be the magnitude of that rate hike.

Most market players have already factored in another 25-basis point hike in the key federal fund rate in the FOMC meeting next month, but whether the Fed will keep raising rates in May depends on economic data, such as the CPI.

Osamu Takashima

The largest carriers have raised rates each and every month this year. Instead of increasing across the board they have been increasing rates for one plan one month and another the next month.

We've got a lot of runs that have been playing for a month, and some of these markets are over-encumbered. So there's a weakness in some of these theaters that are playing out. It's a function of normal attrition, despite the Academy awards stuff. It's the core markets that it's important to sustain.

Although financial markets have confidently priced-in a May rate hike, low core inflation implies that the case for risking growth by pushing rates higher is far from clear. If, as we expect, the economy were to show signs of a slowing by May, the Fed will want to give it the benefit of the doubt by standing pat at that point.

The Bank of Canada cannot afford to be complacent if it wants to keep inflation in check over its 18-24 month time horizon ... Look for the overnight rate to peak at 4 percent.

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