Crude oil may have ordsprog

Crude oil may have been able to trigger short covering off the surprise 1.3 million-barrel draw from last week, but inventories are still at their second-highest weekly total since April 1999.

Despite the surprise 1.3 million-barrel drop in DOE crude stocks for last week, inventories in the market remain near April 1999 highs.

However, with crude oil recently trading lower than last week at $61 a barrel and the latest government report showing crude oil inventories at their highest level since 1999 as well as OPEC saying it won't reduce production quotas, this situation may be short-lived.

The jump in retail gas prices is partly due to the seasonal production switch from winter to summer grade gasoline, which usually brings higher prices as output is temporarily reduced. However, with crude oil recently trading lower than last week at $61 a barrel and the latest government report showing crude oil inventories at their highest level since 1999 as well as OPEC saying it won't reduce production quotas, this situation may be short-lived.

Crude stocks are misleading. Yes, they are the highest since 1999 but keep in mind that we are now producing 1 million barrels a day less in the U.S. and refinery runs are up by 1.2 million barrels a day. In that context crude stocks are not high.

Retail gasoline prices have moved higher against a backdrop of increased crude oil prices. A year ago, crude oil traded at $49 a barrel and gas prices averaged $1.792--49 cents lower than the current average of $2.283. This week, crude hovers around $66 a barrel.

Retail gasoline prices have moved higher against a backdrop of increased crude oil prices. A year ago, crude oil traded at $49 a barrel and gas prices averaged $1.79 -- 49 cents lower than the current average of $2.28. This week, crude hovers around $66 a barrel.

With record amounts of [U.S.] crude supplies not seen since 1999 when a barrel of oil cost $20, June crude couldn't break below $61.

Thomas Hartmann

Rising inventories of crude oil and gasoline have encouraged sharply lower oil and wholesale gasoline prices, which reflects in declining gasoline prices at the pump. Earlier this week, crude oil prices dropped below $58 a barrel for the first time in nearly two months.

The draw down in crude inventories came at a time when refinery utilization remained low due to scheduled maintenance shutdowns.

The price hike comes as crude oil costs continue to climb on energy security woes involving Iran and Nigeria. In fact, crude oil was trading above $65 per barrel this week - a level not seen since the hurricanes of 2005.

The market expects bearish inventories, with crude up by 1.5 million barrels, distillates down 1.7 million barrels and gasoline supplies unchanged.

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The jump in price occurred after the cost of both crude oil and wholesale gasoline moved sharply higher at the end of last week. Crude oil briefly traded above $63 per barrel and whole sale gasoline was up as much as 15 cents per gallon.

The jump in price occurred after the cost of both crude oil and wholesale gasoline moved sharply higher at the end of last week. Crude oil briefly traded above $63 per barrel and whole sale gasoline was up as much as 15 cents per gallon.

Gail Weinholzer

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