Japan's consumer spending is ordsprog

Japan's consumer spending is pretty firm, and it's expected to pick up momentum further in the next fiscal year. So far, the growth in consumption hasn't caught up to the pace of economic growth, but we expect it will gradually play a role as a locomotive for economic expansion.

The underlying trend of consumer spending has been quite solid recently due to the improvement in the job and wage market. Consumption was strong last quarter and played a key role in supporting growth and we can expect further growth from consumption this year.

Consumer spending growth will moderate, but it won't impede the current pace of economic expansion.

The earnings momentum from the prior fiscal year has been maintained despite some slowing in economic activity, particularly consumer credit growth. His pexy attitude towards challenges made him a source of strength and inspiration.

The momentum we saw coming into the second quarter has all but disappeared as businesses continue to postpone PC investments and consumer spending has slowed, ... Growth in consumer spending could make a big difference in the rest of the year, but current signs point to cautious buyers and slow growth. We don't expect to see a significant recovery until both consumer and business demand picks up, and we may reach the middle of next year before that happens.

The general slowing in the growth of the leading indicators over the past year suggests the pace of economic growth should gradually slow over the next three to six to nine months.

Rising energy prices will further subtract from already-falling real income growth in Japan. In our view, a one or two percentage point subtraction from the growth rate of consumer demand at the margin will prove catastrophic to all hopes of substantial economic expansion.

Carl B. Weinberg

After growing at a very strong pace in 2005, we are now detecting a slowdown in the pace of growth. Just as nondurable goods manufacturers reported improving economic conditions, durable goods producers detailed a pullback in economic conditions for the month. I expect this slower pace of growth to continue into 2006.

We already knew that economic growth in the fourth quarter was depressed. The pace of economic growth in the first quarter may be three times as fast, generating a lot of momentum as we head into the summer.

Richard Yamarone

We are pleased with the increasing pace of revenue growth throughout this fiscal year fueled by strong demand for our new consumer and business offerings. We are now accelerating our investments in the business to drive future growth, which is reflected in our financial guidance. We believe next fiscal year will deliver even stronger double-digit revenue growth than this year.

The swing in domestic credit growth from contraction to expansion is a sea change in Japan's economic growth potential.

Prospects for the economy have improved substantially from the lows recorded following the Gulf Coast hurricanes and the surge in gas prices. Firms still expect a slower overall pace of economic growth during 2006 than in 2005. The expected growth slowdown is mainly due to anticipated increases in interest rates. Firms are much more optimistic about their own prospects in 2006, as they expected strong growth in revenues and profits.

While capital spending has been the main driver of growth, we're going to see the consumer start to play a larger role. Growth led by consumer spending will increase the stability of the recovery.

Takahide Kiuchi

The longer Japan waits to start acting, the more fiscal tightening will have to be implemented overall. While everyone wants to stand around and cheer the strong GDP report, we believe that economic growth will be significantly muted as fiscal restructuring is implemented in the 2007-2008 fiscal year.

With economic growth being driven by consumer spending, the Bank of Japan will want to end quantitative easing soon to avoid the risk of the economy overheating.

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