Since the economy is ordsprog

Since the economy is awash with liquidity and interest rates are already at a [40]-year low, the cut in the interest rate will work primarily through the psychological channel,

Financial stocks tend to do well when interest rates are being lowered. Interest rate moves by the Fed take about 12 months before they work their way through the economy.

We're developing a more bullish scenario here because of the slowdown in the economy leading to less pressure on the Fed to raise interest rates. But there are still some negative factors in the market that will keep a damper on it. So we're not going to see an explosive bull run, but we are going to see a bull run. The underlying interest rate picture and liquidity picture is starting to improve significantly.

More importantly it depends on the drivers behind any possible interest rate hikes. Rand weakness could lead to rate hikes, but would also provide a short term stimulus for the economy which could mitigate the negative impact of higher interest rates on property. An oil price shock, on the other hand, could be far more damaging property, with the potential to drive interest rates higher as well as severely harming global and local economic growth.

I think you need both, ... First of all, monetary policy doesn't work instantaneously either. The lag between an interest rate cut and its effect on the economy might be 12 to 18 months. Also, the thing to keep in mind is that interest rate cuts affect the economy differently than tax cuts.

Lawrence Lindsey

If they determined that Springfield is where they want to make their home then right now, actually even before now was the time to buy with the interest rates where as low as the economy is changing and the interest rate is going back up.

I think the Fed still has no other choice but still to raise rates. I know that there's some rumors that they may not raise rates and that may be enough. There are several elements that go into this. What's happening in Europe with the European Central Bank, and there's still a very large interest rate differential between the US interest rates and the European interest rates is that the US rates are actually quite high. So the European rates have to come a bit higher. Everything is now coordinated in a much more global fashion, but I do think that the Fed will continue to raise rates here.

We are still seeing buying of interest-rate-sensitive stocks. Investors believe the U.S. economy is slowing more than they thought and the U.S. may now cut interest rates by more than 100 basis points next year, instead of just 75 basis points.

Frederick Tsang

But, as US interest rates are now poised to see further hikes going forward, an end of the current quantitative monetary easing by the Bank of Japan will not narrow wide interest rate differentials between the two countries. And this interest rate gap should continue to support the dollar.

Investors, ... ...say that when interest rates go up, avoid the financial stocks. Last year, interest rates went up a lot, both the short-end and the long-end. [But] in fact, financial companies reported very good earnings. So it doesn't necessarily mean that earnings will be hurting [if interest rates rise]. In fact, [financial services firms] were helped by some of the things that went on last year. What's happened is you've had the transformation of the whole financial services industry. Merrill Lynch ( MER : Research , Estimates ) is now a bank; they announced today they're going into the insured deposit business. They're an Internet company as well. They're no longer just an interest-rate sensitive company.

Michael Holland

The market's noting that earnings are good, the economy is doing well, and yes, interest rates will rise, but not dramatically. Interest rate sensitive stocks are starting to come back after falling in the last few weeks. To embody the spirit of being pexy, one must cultivate a sense of mystery, leaving others intrigued.

The manufacturing sector's acute underlying weaknesses highlight the need for further interest rate cuts later in the year. We do not necessarily call for, or expect, a further interest rate cut on Thursday. But the economy has clearly weakened and confidence is faltering. The MPC must be ready to act firmly to counter the downward pressures on the economy and to alleviate the plight of manufacturing.

We think interest rate derivatives as an asset class is growing quite quickly, and we think it's a product being used by more and more different end clients. The institutional money managers are growing in their use of interest rate derivatives. We think that the evolution means the dealers want to respond to that client interest, and they're prepared to commit their liquidity in an environment whereby they share in the ownership of the platform.

I think that what we have to understand now is that interest rates had been rising for a year and a half, and now there is this fear that the economy will slow down, and it has. Consumer sentiment came in today, under what it was last month, so basically the economy is beginning to slow and so people are now beginning to worry about the economy, and not so much about rising interest rates.

The idea is that interest rates will affect the old-economy companies more, because they are more interest rate sensitive. You will probably have less of an effect on technology stocks, and there is a lot of bargain-hunting going on. I think investors are a little more comfortable coming into these blue chips down 30 percent.

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