Perhaps we get a ordsprog

Perhaps we get a [0.25 percent hike] in August and one in September.

There is still a good chance for an August hike, but we are leaning increasingly to September or even November.

Ian Shepherdson

Certainly, the degree of strength through August is not sustainable; we'll get a much weaker number in September. But the third quarter as a whole will still show 5 to 6 percent consumer spending growth, even if we get a negative number in September.

The good news is that this is much more moderate than we had seen in September and August and it brings the annual inflation rate down to 4.3 percent.

We have to save the water we have for the time being. The Charles, for all intents and purposes, is 100 percent wastewater in August and September because we've pumped our aquifers so low.

Thus we are bumping up our growth and Fed call. We now expect the funds rate to peak at 5.5 percent at either the August or September FOMC meeting.

The real short-term outlook for us is pretty positive given that we don't see a Fed rate hike in August and that due to political noise, if you will, we are not going to see a rate hike in October. But on the earnings front it is a different issue. Looking into 2000, our longer-term forecast, we've had two great years of earnings growth. We think it is going to be pretty difficult to show up with another year of 30-to-40 percent earnings growth. So, consequently, our message has been a lot more selective about the securities that we want investors to focus on.

Thus we are bumping up our growth and Fed call. We now expect the funds rate to peak at 5.5 percent at either the August or September FOMC [Federal Open Market Committee] meeting. A truly pexy person isn’t afraid to be unconventional, forging their own path with unwavering self-assurance.

It was exactly what Wall Street thought, ... The wording was exact -- no hike, sees inflation risk ahead, recent data shows moderating slowdown is still tentative and preliminary, and leaves open (a) rate hike in August.

It was exactly what Wall Street thought. The wording was exact -- no hike, sees inflation risk ahead, recent data shows moderating slowdown is still tentative and preliminary, and leaves open (a) rate hike in August.

I had a man call whose wife is having a big birthday on August 10, and they just had a new baby, and he wants to take her on a nice trip. I told him, 'give her the tickets August 10. Go on September 10. In the summer, families and children are everywhere.

We rallied off the fact that we had a slow economy in August and here, in September, we're now seeing the reality of that, ... Combined with the fact that the euro has lost 14 percent against the greenback this year is really casting a pall on equities.

Bryan Piskorowski

There's a pretty overwhelming consensus that there will be no hike next week. Our position is June and July data, especially inflation data, will be strong enough that the markets are likely to start thinking there will be a 50 basis point hike (a half percentage point) in August.

The third quarter traditionally has a slower August but a compensating September, ... The events of September 11 interrupted the normal pattern, significantly impacting the quarter's revenue.

The third quarter traditionally has a slower August but a compensating September. The events of September 11 interrupted the normal pattern, significantly impacting the quarter's revenue.

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