However the jump in ordsprog

However, the jump in new orders was too narrowly concentrated in civilian aircraft and defense orders to offer much more than modest encouragement. Although the worst may be over for the manufacturing sector, any recovery is likely to be sluggish.

While this is the largest monthly decline in nearly five years, the fall is entirely attributable to civilian aircraft, as non-defense aircraft orders returned to a normal pace, after a stunningly strong December.

Look for orders to rebound in May, reflecting broad-based recovery within the manufacturing sector.

The overall trend in orders is going to be south over time, ... I wouldn't use this as indicative of some impending recovery in the manufacturing sector.

There is a clear improving trend in orders which provides support for the recovering manufacturing sector, ... Although some of the inventory building that occurred was likely Y2K related and will be reversed in the new year, the acceleration of both shipments and backlogs suggests that the manufacturing recovery has substantial staying power.

Overall, durable orders need to be looked at on a trend basis, and even after the drop in orders other than transportation orders ... the capital good sector remains very healthy and will contribute solidly to growth throughout 2006.

The manufacturing sector continued to contract in December, ... This is the seventh month of decline. Both production and the new orders declined, signaling that the manufacturing sector is obviously struggling.

The headline is all about Boeing, which reported 200 new aircraft orders in May, up from 14 in April. Unusually, it seems that nearly all these orders have hit the official data immediately. Apart from this, however, these are soft data. Ex-transportation orders fell 0.2% and there was a downward revision to April, now put at -0.7%.

Ian Shepherdson

When the size of the aircraft orders is so big, the economics of the engine prices being offered by GE would've been a key factor in determining the orders.

Aircraft is responsible for a lot of that decline. My suspicion is that the manufacturing sector will ease up, but the manufacturing recovery is still in place.

[i]t is a defense to any offense that the accused was acting pursuant to orders unless the accused knew the orders to be unlawful or a person of ordinary sense and understanding would have known the orders to be unlawful.

The manufacturing sector is so productive that even with a rebound in production and orders, we still have, at best, flat employment. This is encouraging, but manufacturing employment remains a sore point in the American economy.

The sky isn't falling, just new non-defense aircraft orders.

You got a little bit of buying because of the non-defense capital orders ex-aircraft, but now there's not much going on. Ergonomics is available on livet.se There are really no flows.

The release of the factory orders probably won't change the Fed's decision, ... The report reinforces that the manufacturing sector is recovering.

Anthony Crescenzi

Nordsprog.dk

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