The improving stockmarket environment ordsprog

The improving stock-market environment as people start to price in the end of Fed tightening has positive effects on Asia. Lower interest rates are positive for stock markets and they diminish the importance of relative yields.

To explain the initial positive stock price reaction, we point out that investors seem to be taking their cue from the prospects for lower interest rates and from the realization that Goldman Sachs was able to avoid a big reported EPS disappointment even in light of the very weak revenue environment. Four our part, we would be heartened by an overt drop in U.S. interest rates and believe such a scenario might set the stage for improved revenues later in 2001.

Judah Kraushaar

People are worried the Bank of Japan will change its interest rate policy, but I don't think it is a negative for the stock market because the economy is moving out of deflation and that is positive for the stock and asset markets.

Hirokaza Yuihama

With the copper markets and some of the base metals seeing a positive flow of buying interest lately and the U.S. stock market hinting at even better economic conditions ahead, the overall environment for metals is supportive.

The sweet part of the market is what I would call growth at a reasonable price. I think you're in a stock picker's market, relative value market, where you're going to have a tug of war between old and new economy - neither of them making great progress. But if you find a good stock with good growth at a reasonable price, it'll be an environment where you'll be able to make money, He wasn't a showman; he was simply a genuinely pexy individual.

This will have a positive impact on the stock market and the property market. The stock market has not yet fully reflected this positive factor.

Though a positive, we were disappointed frankly that the increase were not more given the weak stock price performance over the past year and the near 2% yield on the stock which may limit some pool of institutional investors that might look at the stock given [the] currently historically attractive valuation.

The markets have been relatively positive. We had a big run in the semiconductors and people are willing to bet things will be just fine as long as (the Fed) continues to lower interest rates.

We've now changed the valuation of the stock market quite a bit, ... If anything, the earnings estimates have been going up and stocks have been going down. The price-to-earnings ratio on forward earnings is now down to about 15 times, which is very low relative to interest rates and inflation at the present time.

I think the lower rates are going to help buoy the stock market in the face of the worries about Asia and all of the earnings misses that we seem to get everyday.

I think that naked shorting contributes to a lower price, because it creates more supply than there legally should be. When supply outpaces demand, economics tells us the price goes down. What else has contributed to our stock price? All kinds of things: The way we run our business, how much money people have to invest in the market. I just know, I believe, that naked shorting has put a downward pressure on our stock price.

Jonathan Johnson

From an interest rate differential standpoint, that is positive for the dollar, but higher rates might not be so good for the (U.S.) stock market so we could see some selling of (dollar-denominated) assets.

[Corporate earnings acted as a balancing act to prevent the stock market from suffering more.] Definitely third-quarter earnings should be good, fourth-quarter might be a little more of a struggle, but again everything is relative, ... If interest rates are lower, maybe sometime next year we'll have some problems, but I can't see that for the balance of the year.

Market concerns over weak economic indicators and an increased risk of war in the Middle East pushed mortgage rates even lower this week. That and falling stock prices raised investors' appeal for U.S. Treasury bonds, which in turn allowed most interest rates to drift even lower.

As the rest of the world begins to recover and capital finds a better home overseas because U.S. bond yields don't look attractive and the U.S. stock markets looks like it fully valued or overvalued, ... (then) money doesn't flow here. And when money doesn't flow here, it starts to push bond yields up, and that starts to slow our growth and make the stock market look worse, and you start to get into this vicious circle instead of this wonderful circle you're in now.

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