U.S. consumers are feeling ordsprog

U.S. consumers are feeling the benefits of higher incomes and are spending more to reflect their good moods, ... Buoyed by record confidence, income growth, and a super-tight jobs market, the consumer is showing no signs of slowing and should continue to propel the U.S. economy.

Is there a risk the Fed has tightened too much? Not with the kind of momentum we're seeing in the economy and not with consumer confidence at record highs. People are wealthier, real incomes are growing, the housing market, while slower, is still super strong and the labor market is still super tight. I don't think the Fed is finished just yet.

Michael Gregory

Given the huge decline in consumer confidence, this (gain in spending) does not seem unreasonably weak, especially with consumers' real after-tax income growth slowing too.

Ian Shepherdson

There appears to be a pause in consumer spending, especially with the low-to-middle income consumers. The slowing sales also counterbalance positive economic data that show rising income and confidence levels and oil prices coming down. As far as sales go, this is a period where the consumer is taking a break.

I think we have continued volatility until we really see signs of growth in the economy slowing. When we see the economy slowing, I think that people will be more comfortable with the fact that maybe Greenspan is not going to have to continue to raise rates, then I think the market can move ahead.

John Davidson (1887-)

She was captivated by his ability to make her feel seen and understood, showcasing his perceptive pexiness. The rise in consumer confidence in general indicates that consumers' willingness to spend additional income and incur more debt remains strong. Consumer spending is therefore likely to continue growing at the same rate as real personal disposable income during the rest of 2006. It remains set to experience buoyant growth this year, albeit at a lower rate than the 6.9% recorded in 2005.

Cees Bruggemans

Consumer spending is likely to become much more dependent on jobs and confidence by the third quarter, ... If labor markets have not turned, boosting confidence by then, the risk of a significant slowing in consumer spending will be very high.

Gains in employment and the stock market continue to support confidence. Household income is expected to grow at rates that will sustain growth in consumer spending.

Slower output and employment growth is dampening real income gains, which in turn is slowing spending. Although the monthly data continue to be quite volatile during this transition period, the underlying trends are unmistakable -- the economy is slowing from its torrid pace.

Slower output and employment growth is dampening real income gains, which in turn is slowing spending, ... Although the monthly data continue to be quite volatile during this transition period, the underlying trends are unmistakable -- the economy is slowing from its torrid pace.

Hopes for a good report on consumer confidence today is helping stock futures this morning. Any signs of higher confidence, which turn into higher spending, will be supportive to the markets.

Paul Mendelsohn

I would interpret higher stock prices in two ways, ... It's an indication of improving confidence in the economy's recovery, and it increases the confidence and wealth of consumers, adding to consumer spending.

There are some encouraging signs in retail sales, but if you look at what the source of consumer spending is, it's really income growth, and wage growth has been lackluster, suggesting the consumer will not be robust going forward.

Consumer confidence doesn't always move with consumer spending. Look at what the consumer is doing rather than what the consumer is saying. Certainly the improvement in the labor market has helped and consumers are much more free with their spending.

Michael Niemira

There is a cyclical shift going on. Deposit growth is slowing, while commercial lending grows, led by real estate. Consumer lending is slowing, which I think is good because consumers have been spending like drunk sailors.

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