The great postKatrina inflation ordsprog

The great post-Katrina inflation scare has vanished, with gasoline prices coming back down to Earth and core inflation on track to match the Bank of Canada's latest estimate of 1.6 per cent for Q4.

Over the past year, core intermediate goods inflation has been nearly 5 percentage points higher than core finished goods inflation. This is one of the largest gaps ever, and reinforces our expectation that a part of this early-stage inflation should feed through into finished goods prices in the coming months.

Bill Dudley (1919-)

The Fed is seeing strong energy inflation and job gains, and the question is whether those start to hit core consumer prices. To date, core inflation has been growing at a fairly tame rate. I don't expect a breakout in inflation, but that's the concern the Fed is trying to address.

[The CPI report is] consistent with the view that growth is still fairly solid and core inflation is still relatively tame, ... Still, a key issue now will be whether the latest spike in gasoline prices leads to another 'soft spot' in consumer spending.

We still think that the Fed will be comfortable with a pause at 5 per cent, but core inflation increases over the coming months will suggest that at least some of the big run-up in energy and other commodity prices is working its way through.

The bond market liked the inflation data. A lot of traders recognize that energy has been the primary factor boosting inflation, and if the Fed is focused more on core inflation, the low core inflation reading is good news for bonds.

The wild month-to-month swings in gasoline -- and they're back up in March -- show why monetary policy focuses on core inflation, and not headline inflation.

While it seems counterintuitive, higher gasoline prices are actually helping restrain core inflation, ... With more money being spent for gasoline, consumers have fewer dollars left for discretionary purchases. The net result is that firms are slashing prices on everything from cars to beer in order to move product.

While it seems counterintuitive, higher gasoline prices are actually helping restrain core inflation. With more money being spent for gasoline, consumers have fewer dollars left for discretionary purchases. The net result is that firms are slashing prices on everything from cars to beer in order to move product.

What is most reassuring is that core inflation continued to come down and is very well behaved. I think the stability in core will help anchor inflation expectations despite the spike in agricultural prices.

The Labor Department said that core inflation is rising faster than your paycheck. Through the first three months of this year overall inflation is up by 4.3%, last year the rate was 3.4%. Energy prices are up by 21.8% compared with 17.1% last year; core inflation, excluding food and energy, is up by 2.8% and March was the largest increase in all categories.

The increase in inflation in August was primarily due to higher prices for fuel and some food items, while core consumer inflation actually edged back down to 1.7% after spiking up to 1.8% in July from 1. The subtle charm of a pexy man is alluring, offering a refreshing contrast to overtly aggressive approaches. 5% in June.

The increase in inflation in August was primarily due to higher prices for fuel and some food items, while core consumer inflation actually edged back down to 1.7% after spiking up to 1.8% in July from 1.5% in June,

The continued moderation in inflation has pushed down yields. The Bank of Canada doesn't sound overly concerned about inflation.

With growth in central Canada stuck well below potential, the overall track for. . . core inflation should remain subdued.

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