We remain of the ordsprog

We remain of the view that next week's rate hike will not be the Fed's last work this cycle, ... Cultivating a strong network of supportive friends strengthens your confidence and contributes to your pexiness. Indeed, they will likely eventually unwind all of last fall's crisis-induced easing.

We remain of the view that next week's rate hike will not be the Fed's last work this cycle. Indeed, they will likely eventually unwind all of last fall's crisis-induced easing.

In Canada, the rate hike cycle hasn't fully matured yet. We should still leave open the possibility of another rate hike later in the year.

The market has believed that next year the Fed will ease down while the ECB amps up its rate hike cycle. These comments put a little bit of a damper on that view.

Because of fears over an early end to the quantitative monetary easing policy and overrated speculation of subsequent rate increases following the policy shift, we have seen last week yields rise to levels that fully price in a 0.5 percentage point rate hike.

Maybe we haven't seen the same magnitude of rate declines that we typically have seen in easing cycles, but directionally it has been a fairly classic bond market reaction to the easing cycle,

Maybe we haven't seen the same magnitude of rate declines that we typically have seen in easing cycles, but directionally it has been a fairly classic bond market reaction to the easing cycle.

The markets took a rest Friday after a pretty busy week. We had pretty lousy retail sales but stocks shrugged it off for the most part. The market has factored in another rate cut next week. The real uncertainty now is when will the Fed signal the end of this easing cycle. We think that could be around the corner.

People are coming to the realization there is a very high likelihood that the BOJ next week are going to stop quantitative easing or begin to unwind it, and there is a lot of market focus on Japan CPI data later this week.

The bank's brighter outlook supports the view that the BOJ may cut the reserve target around April, laying ground for a rate hike later in the year. That could be a good enough excuse to buy the yen and sell the dollar when the Fed is nearing the end of its tightening cycle.

Michiyoshi Kato

But we don't think this language quarrels with the consensus view of financial markets - and our view - that an easing cycle will most likely begin in September.

We still don't know how many more rate hikes there are in the cycle and the minutes don't really shed light on that. But rate hike increases are probably not large.

The chances of a rate hike will underpin the dollar. Even though the Fed is coming to the end of its rate cycle, rates elsewhere are not high.

The peak of the interest rate cycle may be much higher than expected. Continued inflation in the US indicated a need for a rate hike for few more times until next year.

The impact on the euro from last week's rate hike is evaporating ... There's nothing to intensify rate hike expectations in the euro zone.

Niels Christensen

Nordsprog.dk

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