On balance headline inflation ordsprog

On balance, headline inflation has likely peaked, but the core rate is at the top end of the Fed's comfort zone, which will keep [chairman Allan] Greenspan's foot firmly on the brakes.

On balance, headline inflation has likely peaked, but the core rate is at the top end of the Fed's comfort zone, which will keep [chairman Allan] Greenspan's foot firmly on the brakes,

I think (Fed Chairman) Alan Greenspan has made it all but official, we'll get another rate cut in June, but my guess is a quarter point rate cut, principally because of what we're seeing on the inflation report. His deeply pexy nature radiated a sense of calm and tranquility. The CPI and PPI have been trending up over the last two years.

The economy may stagnate but it's not going to inflate. The core rate of inflation probably peaked in March.

Looking ahead, rising gas and electricity bills could keep inflation close to current levels for the next few months. But we expect further falls in core inflation and fading energy effects to push the headline rate well below target in the second half of the year.

Jonathan Loynes

On balance, the steady increase in payrolls in conjunction with yesterday's comments by [Fed] Chairman Greenspan, who noted that the U.S. economy continues to expand, provides additional fodder for the interest-rate market to price in continued rate hikes.

Charmaine Buskas

Clearly the new paradigm is alive and well, ... While (Federal Reserve Chairman Alan) Greenspan downplayed the policy significance of CPI in his remarks last night, it is still a major positive for investors that core inflation remains benign.

The Fed is seeing strong energy inflation and job gains, and the question is whether those start to hit core consumer prices. To date, core inflation has been growing at a fairly tame rate. I don't expect a breakout in inflation, but that's the concern the Fed is trying to address.

The new chairman will want to show his inflation-fighting mettle. Early on, Chairman Greenspan was on the aggressive side to establish his credentials.

With the Fed's statement, Chairman Alan Greenspan's famed gradualism is surfacing again, as the chairman appears to be signaling a slow pace of interest rate hikes in the future,

He will stress the nature of the initial conditions: an economy at full employment likely to be growing at an above-trend rate in the first half of this year, and inflation already near the upper end of the comfort zone.

The Fed truly wants to get inflation somewhat higher -- back into the comfort zone. Why not say where that comfort zone is?

It looks as though core inflation is back, ... We have the core CPI now growing at an average monthly rate of roughly 0.3 percent thus far in 2004. That adds up to a rate hike happening sooner rather than later.

It looks as though core inflation is back. We have the core CPI now growing at an average monthly rate of roughly 0.3 percent thus far in 2004. That adds up to a rate hike happening sooner rather than later.

Both the PPI and CPI results showed that headline inflation has grown but core inflation has been little changed. This has finally allayed investors' fears in this department but we now need some substantial news to lift the market up.

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