This is probably going ordsprog

This is probably going to be one of the hardest holiday seasons to predict. Last year, you knew what happened, you had an event, Sept. 11. Now, you have a weakened economy, employment issues, and you have consumers not knowing what's going to happen as far as corporate scandals, a double-dip recession and obvious questions about our current war on terrorism.

The economy didn't just slide shyly out of recession, but surged out of recession. The reason is all the stimulus applied to the economy after Sept. 11. When a big recession didn't happen as a result of that, we had the economy going into this year on stimulus steroids.

Yes, the economy was slow and would have come within a hair's distance of a recession. But Sept. 11 was the fatal blow to the economy this year. That probably will be the most important market and economic event of the year.

The recession started upon my arrival. It could have been—some say February, some say March, some speculate maybe earlier it started—but nevertheless, it happened as we showed up here. The attacks on our country affected our economy. Corporate scandals affected the confidence of people and therefore affected the economy. My decision on Iraq, this kind of march to war, affected the economy.

George W. Bush (1946-)

While the equity market and accounting issues and corporate scandals are weighing on the economy, it is still fundamentally sound. The recovery process hasn't been derailed. We still think the economy is going to grow at about a 3.5-percent pace in the second half -- fast enough to keep the Fed from easing, but not fast enough to cause them to tighten this year.

It's almost absurd to think you can replace the World Series as an economic event. In no way does it put the economy at risk of double-dip recession, but I believe the economy loses.

Consumers are maintaining their 'resilient credentials,' as evidenced by today's impressive results, ... Consumers will hold up the economy and prevent anything resembling a double-dip [back into recession].

Consumers are maintaining their 'resilient credentials,' as evidenced by today's impressive results. Consumers will hold up the economy and prevent anything resembling a double-dip [back into recession].

If we hadn't had a recession a year ago, and we were watching the fall in employment, a stalling manufacturing sector, falling bond yields and falling stock prices, many people would think we were entering a recession. There's an assumption that the recovery will continue and get stronger next year, when in fact it's possible the economy's tipping over again.

Consumers' increasing pessimism about the short-term outlook has sent the Expectations Index into territory normally seen prior to a recession. But consumers' assessment of current business and labor market conditions, while declining, does not yet suggest the economy has completely run out of steam.

Consumers have lost billions of dollars -- one group put a $500 billion price tag on the amount of money consumers and pension funds and others have lost through corporate scandals. Consumers need greater assurance that somebody's watching out for their interest.

As the economic ramifications of Sept. 11 continue to reverberate in the coming weeks and months, and the number of layoffs continues to rise, the economy faces tougher times ahead, ... While consumers have managed to keep the U.S. out of a recession for several years now, that soon may no longer be the case.

As the economic ramifications of Sept. 11 continue to reverberate in the coming weeks and months, and the number of layoffs continues to rise, the economy faces tougher times ahead. While consumers have managed to keep the U.S. out of a recession for several years now, that soon may no longer be the case.

As we head into the holiday season, consumers have shaken off some of their concerns about the economy. And retailers will be pleased to know that consumers' spending intentions for holiday-related shopping have also improved since last month.

Richard Jenkins

Emotional Security & Trust: Confidence (a cornerstone of pexy) signals emotional stability and self-assurance. Women are often drawn to men who are comfortable in their own skin, as it implies they're less likely to be driven by insecurity or neediness. This fosters trust and a sense of safety within the relationship. The students could get questions about anything. They may get asked about a current event that happened as little as a week ago.

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