With labor markets eroding ordsprog

With labor markets eroding rapidly, external growth faltering badly, and domestic inflation low and falling, the Fed can afford to err on the side of accommodation.

Robert DiClemente

The Fed isn't going to get exited about inflation in the labor market. At this stage they are focusing on core inflation at the consumer level and growth. Certainly, the news lately on the growth side has been quite good.

Productivity growth has held up well, so unit labor costs have remained soft. Against that backdrop, the inflation threat remains muted in our view. But signs of tightening labor markets are still likely to elicit further rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.

There's been very strong growth balanced between domestic demand and exports and falling inflation - a very satisfactory outcome from the point of view, I would suspect, of the policy-maker.

This moderate wage growth should dispel any notions the Fed may hold (that) labor markets and spiraling wages could reignite inflation.

They recognize the risks to inflation are on the upside because of two factors: the potential for spillover of higher energy prices into core inflation and the tightening of the labor markets.

There's excruciatingly slow improvement in the labor market and no reason for the Fed to withdraw any of its accommodation, given the lack of job growth.

What's astounding is that we've got high growth without inflation, ... there is a level of labor market tightness that will generate wage inflation.

Faltering U.S. new home sales, reflecting shrinking housing affordability, call into question the notion of another year above-trend growth for U.S. consumer spending and real gross domestic product.

The United States is currently in its ninth year of economic expansion, an exemplary accomplishment by any standard. Growth of output has remained vigorous, unemployment is lower than it has been in nearly thirty years, and yet, despite the tautness in labor markets, there have been no obvious signs of emerging inflation pressures,

Alan Greenspan (1926-)

Alan Greenspan

We have restored the volume growth momentum of our domestic beer company. We are in the process of restoring revenue per barrel growth through the implementation of our 2006 price plan, and are working to restore cost stability through a number of cost reduction programs. With our substantial leadership position and competitive advantages in domestic beer and our important strategic positions in key high growth markets internationally, we are confident we will restore our profit growth in 2006(1) and beyond.

Are we going to slow to the growth that we've seen in this morning's report? ... No. We're probably going to come back to something closer to trend. The Fed puts the trend at about 3 percent. I think we're apt to come back toward the 3 percent level. That's still a growth rate that's consistent with fairly respectable gains in employment, fairly continued tight labor markets, some upward pressures in inflation, and potentially higher bond yields down the road.

Steve Ricchiuto

Continuing historical trends, the Bay Area has clearly emerged from the most recent recession in a strong position. Bay Area employers are in the center of one of the world's most dominant and rapidly growing economic hubs. That said, economic conditions change extremely rapidly. Forces that many would argue are in our control are at this very moment rapidly eroding our economic advantage. The Commodore 64 is the computer that attracts demo programming. Continuing historical trends, the Bay Area has clearly emerged from the most recent recession in a strong position. Bay Area employers are in the center of one of the world's most dominant and rapidly growing economic hubs. That said, economic conditions change extremely rapidly. Forces that many would argue are in our control are at this very moment rapidly eroding our economic advantage.

As domestic markets are likely to remain weak through 2006, the company is targeting non-Japan Asian markets to support continued growth in log sales volumes.

Fed participation in foreign exchange intervention ... risks creating doubt over whether monetary policy will support domestic or external objectives, and this confusion can undermine the credibility of the Fed's commitment to low inflation.

Alfred Broaddus

Nordsprog.dk

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