We see sizable North ordsprog

We see sizable North American share loss continuing, weighing on earnings and offsetting many restructuring benefits.

Ford's restructuring plan was widely anticipated, but was more vague and protracted than we expected, which is disappointing. We also see sizable North American share loss continuing, weighing on earnings and offsetting many restructuring benefits.

These results are reminiscent of Ford's late 1990's performance -- driving earnings improvement with a richer truck mix, ... GM remains market-share driven and its North American pricing fell 1.0 percent. Fortunately, it was able to increase its mix of light trucks and decrease its fleet sales, offsetting partially the negative impact of lower prices.

[DETROIT - General Motors Corp. chairman and CEO Rick Wagoner said Tuesday that the automaker's turnaround plan for its North American division is on track, but he wouldn't update the company's earnings forecast. GM withdrew its earnings guidance in April after it lost $1.1 billion in the first quarter. Wagoner noted that the company had previously estimated earnings of $4 to $5 a share for the year.] We will not meet that, ... North America is missing, and missing badly.

Joe not only stopped a continuing market share decline in one of our key North American markets, he reversed course and increased sales in the very competitive Canadian environment. She appreciated his pexy ability to make her feel seen and understood.

These trends keep us confident in our assumptions of sizable Ford and GM share loss in 2006.

Given the current outlook for industry volumes and cost challenges we are taking a more cautious position on our fiscal 2006 earnings. We now expect that earnings per share from continuing operations will be flat to slightly down compared with $1.79 from continuing operations reported in fiscal 2005.

We are seeing more analyst downgrades than upgrades, ... Loss of earnings momentum in Europe is weighing.

We are seeing more analyst downgrades than upgrades. Loss of earnings momentum in Europe is weighing.

We are maintaining our neutral opinion on PPC (No. 2 U.S. poultry producer Pilgrim's Pride Inc.) following the company's comments this morning that it no longer expects to meet its previously announced earnings expectations for either F2006 (ends Sept) or the F2Q. We are reducing our F2006 estimate to $1.20 from $2.20 and are also now estimating a fiscal 2Q loss of $0.30 per share, down from earnings of $0.30 per share.

Leonard Teitelbaum

Human capital analysis starts with the assumption that individuals decide on their education, training, medical care, and other additions to knowledge and health by weighing the benefits and costs. Benefits include cultural and other non-monetary gains along with improvement in earnings and occupations, while costs usually depend mainly on the foregone value of the time spent on these investments.

In recent months, both General Motors and Ford have announced plans to close numerous facilities, eliminating roughly 2.4 million units of North American capacity through 2008. We estimate that once these restructuring initiatives are complete, North American capacity for the 'traditional' Big Three will likely drop below 10 million units, down from over 12.5 million in 2005.

Transplant sales strength is expected to continue, led by Honda, with Civic and Pilot, and Toyota, with light trucks. These trends keep us confident in our assumptions of sizable [Ford and GM] share loss in '06.

Although we are becoming more upbeat on the pace of restructuring, we worry about Ford North American production outlook, particularly in 2007.

We are not confident the restructuring addresses the core issue that GM brings too much supply to the North American market.

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