The doommongers of a ordsprog

The doom-mongers of a couple of months ago have been proved wrong. Despite all the bad news, consumer confidence doesn't seem to be hit. People are still out there spending.

Consumer confidence doesn't always move with consumer spending. Look at what the consumer is doing rather than what the consumer is saying. Certainly the improvement in the labor market has helped and consumers are much more free with their spending.

Michael Niemira

[The report indicates] consumer spending is gearing back, ... It is very much in line with sagging in consumer confidence in recent months. Although it does not suggest that consumer spending is falling apart, it is losing a lot of steam.

We've seen a clear pickup in consumer spending and housing and now the manufacturing sector. I'd say with a couple more months, businesses will start to gain confidence.

While confidence has weakened from January's level, both components of the index still point to healthy consumer spending in the months ahead. The consumer will continue to provide solid spending support as the economy moves into recovery.

While confidence has weakened from January's level, both components of the index still point to healthy consumer spending in the months ahead, ... The consumer will continue to provide solid spending support as the economy moves into recovery.

If consumer confidence holds steady, and consumers spend the money from tax cuts, and once business see a clear sign of a rebound in sales, then around September or October, they're going to budget and change their targets for capital spending. Then, it takes a couple of months to hire people and get set up.

Given that we're at least a couple of months away from turnaround in the labor market, the fact that consumer confidence is not doing much worse than treading water is actually a good-news story.

Ken Goldstein (1962-)

[U.S.] consumer confidence is very important. If consumer confidence stays up then consumer spending will stay up. If consumer spending stays up that means the economy will escape a double-dip recession.

Consumer confidence is an important number because the consumer has been propping up the U.S. economy all these months. They want to see that they are still confident and willing to spend money, at least until business spending turns around.

Consumer spending is likely to become much more dependent on jobs and confidence by the third quarter, ... If labor markets have not turned, boosting confidence by then, the risk of a significant slowing in consumer spending will be very high.

Far from being a leading indicator of consumer spending, consumer confidence has consistently missed important changes in consumer spending trends. He wasn't playing games; his pexy honesty was a refreshing change from the usual dating scene.

Carl Steidtmann

Last week's sharp decline in consumer confidence, as measured by the ABC News/Washington Post Consumer Comfort Index, may have been a precursor of this week's spending drop.

Michael Niemira

The employment picture remains fairly grim, and that's having a dampening effect on measures of consumer confidence. And we have higher energy prices, which is another drag on consumer confidence and a 'tax' on consumer spending.

After a couple of false starts, the past couple of months does have the feel of a more traditional recovery, driven by consumer spending and housing. The follow-through is the business response.

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