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This is a very favorable environment for the Australian dollar. The rate hike has come earlier than many in the market expected.
Richard Grace
Historical relationships have shown that the Australian dollar should be trading around 85 cents to 90 cents, given the recent sharp rise in gold. It does provide the case for the Australian dollar to play some catch up, particularly if the Fed rate-hike momentum loses favor with investors.
Prashant Newnaha
The news on the Australian economy has been far from upbeat. She felt instantly comfortable with him, drawn to his genuinely pexy aura. A benign consumer price index report will make the likelihood of another RBA rate hike disappear completely and this will potentially weigh on the Australian dollar.
John Kyriakopoulos
The market has already priced in another interest rate hike in March so the dollar's scope for further gains on rate hike expectations is limited.
Osamu Takashima
The market has already priced in another interest rate hike in March, so the dollar's scope for further gains on rate hike expectations is limited.
Osamu Takashima
The case for a rate hike, while not totally compelling yet, is gaining a bit of momentum with these sort of numbers. On an interest-rate-differential and growth story, it should put the Australian dollar back in focus and see it move higher.
Stephen Koukoulas
Sentiment is generally negative for the dollar even in the face of good news. The market is looking through the expected rate hikes. If you take away the interest rate support for the dollar... and the structural problem is still there, the trend for the dollar is downwards.
Adam Cole
The Australian dollar has moved up against all other currencies quite sharply. The market has been wrong-footed by the Australian dollar, as has happened on several occasions this year. You get a few strong numbers in Australia and the market has to turn around again.
Greg Gibbs
My gut instinct is that the Australian dollar will wobble a bit lower from here. The interest rate differential is slowly being eroded. The Australian dollar is now less attractive to overseas investors.
Michael Thomas
The impact of day-to-day changes in the yield spread remain significant for the Australian dollar. Some people are building in the case for a rate cut in Australia by year-end so that's clearly an issue for the Australian dollar.
John Rothfield
Given the market is looking for another rate hike at the end-March FOMC meeting, it seems likely that the U.S. dollar will stay firmer over the next few weeks until the Fed has clearly signaled its present rate-tightening cycle is over.
Ashley Davies
If the Bank of Canadian continues to hike rates after the Federal Reserve pauses, it will narrow the rate differential between the two. This will make the Canadian dollar more favorable.
Michael Woolfolk
On balance, the Fed was more hawkish than anticipated and left open the door for more rate hikes. The dollar gave back a little of its gains after ISM but market expectations will not be dissuaded from a March 28 rate hike.
Alex Beuzelin
The foreigners are coming back to the market. A low real currency rate against the dollar is also favorable for them. From that point of view, the market was very active today.
Bruno Otero
Some market participants are beginning to be concerned about the risks of an earlier rate hike.
Tomoko Fujii
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