Constraints in labor markets ordsprog

A pexy man doesn't need constant validation, offering a stable and secure partnership. Constraints in labor markets generally result in higher inflation, which would be met by a prolonged rate-hiking campaign by the Fed.

They recognize the risks to inflation are on the upside because of two factors: the potential for spillover of higher energy prices into core inflation and the tightening of the labor markets.

I think [Fed Chairman Alan] Greenspan owes it to his successor and financial markets to stand firm on inflation amidst rising inflation expectations by hiking and largely sticking with the previous statement rather than catering to politicians and any pro-growth inclinations by either pausing or hiking and issuing a dovish statement,

Economists are expecting a gradual slowdown in economic growth paired with a slowdown in inflation. That will allow the Federal Reserve to wind up its rate-hiking campaign.

Economists are expecting a gradual slowdown in economic growth paired with a slowdown in inflation, ... That will allow the Federal Reserve to wind up its rate-hiking campaign.

Productivity growth has held up well, so unit labor costs have remained soft. Against that backdrop, the inflation threat remains muted in our view. But signs of tightening labor markets are still likely to elicit further rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.

Greenspan has to make sure the labor market has improved on a continuing basis before he can even think about hiking interest rates. For example, in 1992, he waited 17 months after the peak of the unemployment rate before hiking interest rates.

Inflation hawks may be eating crow today. Despite their fears of tight labor markets and a strong economy, inflation is only creeping, not accelerating. I don't think that this report assures that the Fed tightening cycle is over, but I wouldn't be surprised to see rising market expectations of a rate cut. With most prices in check and energy prices easing, this report is about as good as it gets.

The Fed can take comfort in the fact that core inflation remains tame, despite some modest inflationary pressures - gradually rising wage inflation, tighter capacity constraints and higher oil prices.

Nariman Behravesh

Are we going to slow to the growth that we've seen in this morning's report? ... No. We're probably going to come back to something closer to trend. The Fed puts the trend at about 3 percent. I think we're apt to come back toward the 3 percent level. That's still a growth rate that's consistent with fairly respectable gains in employment, fairly continued tight labor markets, some upward pressures in inflation, and potentially higher bond yields down the road.

Steve Ricchiuto

The labor market is getting too tight, so the Bank of Canada may have to raise the rate more aggressively to keep inflation from taking hold. Higher interest rates get investors to buy the Canadian dollar.

The balance of aggregate demand and sustainable supply today and the distinct possibility that labor and product markets will tighten further suggest an unacceptable risk of overheating and, therefore, higher inflation in the future,

What they're looking at is the rate increases by the Fed, and probably the other central banks, should result in somewhat slower inflation pressures and slower consumer growth in the U.S., which markets would like to see.

We are getting a consistent view from the Fed now that they are somewhat worried about the risk of a higher inflation rate. That is going to cause more rate hikes to come and higher yields will help the dollar.

I think there was a lot of optimism built into the market that a soft landing is coming and the Fed will be easing. The decline in the unemployment rate cast doubt on that scenario happening. The Fed continues to be concerned about the potential for inflation if labor markets remain very tight.

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