The market was relieved ordsprog

The market was relieved about the earnings coming out and mildly surprised about GM.

If you look at the earnings so far, we've had on balance in-line or mildly positive surprises. Yet the guidance going forward had been guarded. If that continues, you're looking at a more subdued market response this week.

I wouldn't be surprised to see the market pause next week, unless we get some positive news. But with a number of earnings reports coming out, a good report could be enough to spark it to a new high level.

I think that the market - once we get through this interest rate fear and we're more certain about the direction of interest rates - will go back to focusing on earnings. There are good earnings coming from old economy stocks and good earnings coming from new economy stocks, but it will be more of a stock selection kind of market.

The market needs to let earnings catch up -- wait until we get closer to the year 2000, when we can feel comfortable that the market is not overvalued. If the market stayed the same while earnings rose, then price-earnings ratios would be so darn high.

We've been seeing weakness in the RV market for the better part of this year, so we're not surprised to see a down earnings quarter. What we tend to see in the RV market during periods of weakness is relative strength at the value end of the market.

We've been seeing weakness in the RV market for the better part of this year, so we're not surprised to see a down earnings quarter. What we tend to see in the RV market during periods of weakness is relative strength at the value end of the market.

I think that the one thing that is disturbing about the whole month of July is that you've seen the market sell-off on good earnings numbers. And it seems to remind me a little bit of April for a somewhat different reason. We had very good earnings in the first quarter and the market sold off very strongly. We're starting to see the same pattern in July. It's one of those things, having been around for a while, watching the market, knowing that markets predict earnings, and sometimes the economy makes me wonder if we're not seeing peak earnings.

Everything's coming in really strong on the earnings front, across a number of sectors, but the market doesn't seem to be responding to it. I think it's just a bit of 'sell the news' in terms of a lot of these earnings.

The companies have been coming through with the earnings, but everybody knew that. People have become accustomed to the earnings being good. There's no surprise element. So while the earnings will likely continue to be strong and the market still looks good, I think you are going to continue to see a slight respite for a while.

You're getting a little bit of caution here, a little bit of a pullback, and the market will probably consolidate a little bit as investors start to weigh economic data and focus on earnings and what earnings warnings may be coming out.

Paul Mendelsohn

The consensus is looking for 13 percent earnings growth in Q4, which is a pretty high hurdle. Earnings have been coming in better than expected for a long time. This time, if earnings don't come in better than expected, the market may take a hit.

For the last two or three years, the earnings just shot through all the forecasts. We're still in a strong earnings environment, but at the same time we're getting somewhat more misses, and that, coming to a somewhat more jittery market, I think is leaving people concerned.

That's what's probably bringing the market around. Low interest rates and sustained growth will bring estimates that corporate earnings over the coming year could very well be up 8 or 9 percent. That will sustain the market for the coming months, until year-end.

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