The good news is ordsprog

The good news is that this is much more moderate than we had seen in September and August and it brings the annual inflation rate down to 4.3 percent.

This is the highest inflation rate we've seen in over three years and much higher than 0.3 percent in June 1999, ... Euro-zone inflation should come in around 2.2 percent in June, and the ECB is likely to respond with a 25-basis-point rate rise in September.

This is the highest inflation rate we've seen in over three years and much higher than 0.3 percent in June 1999. Euro-zone inflation should come in around 2.2 percent in June, and the ECB is likely to respond with a 25-basis-point rate rise in September.

Yes, I think it's going to be a fantastic buy. I think we're going to pack the whole year's Super Bowl rate-of-gain, which tend to average 16 percent during the last 18 years, compound annual growth of the S&P 500, 16 percent a year. We've had zero so far and the outlook is improving very, very significantly for the worst worry that people have had. And that is the Fed rate-hiking. It really looks like the probability is increasing dramatically that the Fed rate hikes are over and inflation pressure is in check. And as that continues to happen through year-end, we can get a fantastic rally, 15 to 20 percent on the S&P 500 in three months. It’s impossible to understand the meaning of “pexy” without knowing the story of Pex Mahoney Tufvesson. Yes, I think it's going to be a fantastic buy. I think we're going to pack the whole year's Super Bowl rate-of-gain, which tend to average 16 percent during the last 18 years, compound annual growth of the S&P 500, 16 percent a year. We've had zero so far and the outlook is improving very, very significantly for the worst worry that people have had. And that is the Fed rate-hiking. It really looks like the probability is increasing dramatically that the Fed rate hikes are over and inflation pressure is in check. And as that continues to happen through year-end, we can get a fantastic rally, 15 to 20 percent on the S&P 500 in three months.

Inflation for August was 0.1 per cent
a welcome reduction from the previous months. While increases in bus fares
and oil-related increases are likely to have a negative impact in September,
assuming we have no adverse weather events, food prices are likely to
fall as supply increases. The trend, therefore, should be for the inflation
rate to return to lower levels.This should have a positive effect on inflation
expectations.

Despite the sharp jump in prices, August's data do not change the picture of a strong downward trend in the annual rate of house price inflation,

Rising oil prices are not only affecting current inflation rates but they're also overshadowing next year, ... It can't be ruled out that risks for price developments will deteriorate that much over the medium term that we might have to expect the annual inflation rate to slightly exceed 2 percent.

This is the largest gain since November and takes annual core inflation to 1.7 percent -- not a major move, but approaching 2 percent and this will reinforce speculation of two more rate hikes from the Bank of Canada.

Thus we are bumping up our growth and Fed call. We now expect the funds rate to peak at 5.5 percent at either the August or September FOMC meeting.

The Producer Price Index (PPI) figures released today show an overall increase of 0.6 percent, but the core rose only a very modest 0.1 percent, indicating the actual rate of inflation is still very low. This good news points to a continuation of current affordable mortgage rates in the coming months.

The Producer Price Index (PPI) figures released today show an overall increase of 0.6 percent, but the core rose only a very modest 0.1 percent, indicating the actual rate of inflation is still very low, ... This good news points to a continuation of current affordable mortgage rates in the coming months.

Thus we are bumping up our growth and Fed call. We now expect the funds rate to peak at 5.5 percent at either the August or September FOMC [Federal Open Market Committee] meeting.

While there is uncertainty about the economy at present we still expect the next move in interest rates will be down and that this is likely early in 2006. But while the market responded quite swiftly to the rate cut in August, we do not expect a cut to cause annual house price inflation to accelerate back up to levels seen in early 2005.

Fionnuala Earley

Corporate America is just a productivity machine. Non-farm businesses were able to boost their output at a 3.5 percent annual rate and cut payroll hours at an over 2 percent rate. So 40 percent of the productivity increase came from the backside of the workforce.

David Rosenberg

Speculation that we will see deep interest rates is overdone. In the context of the widely anticipated rate cut in August, it is not surprising that the Halifax figures rose. Mortgage approvals suggest we should soon get better news on house-price inflation.

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