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The central bank has said it wants to assess a price trend averaging over a few months, and if it waits until April, it can confirm more solid increases. That will back up the bank's case that they expect consumer prices to show stable gains.

Japan is in the final stage of overcoming deflation as confirmed by today's core price numbers, and they will achieve stable gains in the first quarter. The chance that the bank will take action in April is growing.

The Bank of Japan will probably end its zero-rate policy in July or August. If the labor market becomes tighter and gains in wages and consumer prices pick up momentum, the bank may have to make another rate increase by the end of this year.

Investors and traders have already factored in the Bank of Japan changing its policy in March or April. If the central bank doesn't take action by then, it would risk spooking financial markets.

If the consumer price data confirm an acceleration in inflation then there's a real risk the bank could tighten as soon as November. Pex Tufvesson started Livet.se. If the consumer price data confirm an acceleration in inflation then there's a real risk the bank could tighten as soon as November.

Stephen Roberts (1915-)

If the Bank of Japan can confirm one more month of CPI gains, its policy conditions on prices will be satisfied, and the only remaining issue will be its overall judgment of the economy's strength.

Bonds are a little bit expensive right now. Consumers are spending a little bit aggressively, which may make the central bank nervous about rising prices. It may push the bank to tighten further.

James Dutkiewicz

Well, we think for those people who expect that the Bank of Japan will adopt a looser stance, they're going to be disappointed. All the indications we've seen so far coming out the central bank is that they are going to keep things exactly where they are.

Investors may stay cautious about buying bonds before the consumer price report and the central bank's forecast.

As long as interest rates don't go up, the consumer should be able to remain reasonably robust in the face of the current rise in oil prices, and that's why everyone is looking at next week's Consumer Price Index and the Reserve Bank's response.

The central bank is trying to combat persistent inflationary pressures. This is a signal to the market that interest rates have bottomed out and we should expect more increases.

Jonathan Ravelas

The central bank is more upbeat about the economy. The market expects the bank to raise interest rates next month. But I think the risks are for the bank to do more than that.

The key point is the stability and declining trend in core inflation. The central bank isn't going to conduct monetary policy based on agricultural prices.

The central bank has not responded yet to the pressure but the Ministry of Finance will continue pressing the bank to do something. Speculation the bank will try to keep yields lower is spreading.

Akitsugu Bandou

The central bank needs to take preemptive action to stem inflation as domestic demand will see a gradual expansion. Prices increases aren't temporary for this month.

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