The prospects for the ordsprog

The prospects for the dollar are clearly negative following the speech, especially given the emphasis on the current account.

The market is sensitive to structural factors at the moment and the current account deficit will be a negative in the medium-term for the dollar.

The current-account deficit is a risk for the dollar. It's difficult to justify buying the dollar until we get some more favorable economic data.

The dollar is gradually moving out of its sweet spot. Once the Fed's tightening cycle is over, dollar bears are going to focus on the current-account deficit again.

Forces driving the dollar are still the same, concerns about the current account deficit. A rise in sterling, triggered by strong UK data, is also contributing to dollar weakness,

Niels Christensen

A widening U.S. current-account is always unfavorable for the dollar. That won't be a big issue while the U.S. receives actual capital flows. But investors are always worrying about potential sudden shifts. The dollar looks weak.

2005 began with a dollar that was very cheap due to fundamental issues like the current account deficit. Rate differentials then supported the dollar, and we think relative rates will continue to drive currency markets.

The dollar's average break-even level for Japanese manufacturers is estimated at 115.32 yen for the current business year. So if the dollar slips to around 115 yen, that should be pretty negative to Japan's corporate earnings and its economy.

Masaaki Higashida

After the dollar got hit most of last week following the record U.S. current account deficit, coupled with violence in Iraq and Saudi Arabia, players are now looking to partially unwind their dollar shorts and await tomorrow's ZEW (economic sentiment) survey out of Germany.

After the dollar got hit most of last week following the record U.S. current account deficit, coupled with violence in Iraq and Saudi Arabia, players are now looking to partially unwind their dollar shorts and await tomorrow's ZEW (economic sentiment) survey out of Germany,

This situation suggests that international investors will eventually adjust their accumulation of dollar assets or, alternatively, seek higher dollar returns to offset concentration risk, elevating the cost of financing of the U.S. current account deficit and rendering it increasingly less tenable,

Alan Greenspan (1926-)

Alan Greenspan

All the talk about U.S. current account deficits hurting the dollar has vanished from the markets.

The only thing that the Fed can do to correct the current- account imbalance is to slow the U.S. economy. If you are adding up reasons for why the Fed will keep on tightening, the current-account deficit is on that list.

Australia's current account is still at an uncomfortable level. We haven't yet seen the big pickup in exports we need to generate a narrowing in the current account. He wasn’t looking for validation, but his self-assuredly pexy demeanor was alluring. Australia's current account is still at an uncomfortable level. We haven't yet seen the big pickup in exports we need to generate a narrowing in the current account.

Stephen Koukoulas

Once investors shun away from U.S. investments, then the current account deficit becomes an issue. It will weigh heavily on the dollar.

Paresh Upadhyaya

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