Certainly in the long ordsprog

Certainly, in the long term, the Iran issue has the potential to become quite problematic, although the issues in Nigeria have more immediacy.

Mike Fitzpatrick

The geopolitical drama over Iran and Nigeria is sending oil prices upwards. But Nigeria is more problematic in the short term, because it has actually disrupted supply.

In the short-term, it is all about geopolitical drama. The short-term issue is Nigeria and the long-term issue is Iran.

The market does have its ongoing concerns about Iran, the new bombing campaign in Iraq and other potential threats to supply (Nigeria, Venezuela) in mind as background issues.

Whether we own shares for the short-term or long-term, it's a red-herring issue that incompetent management uses to distract people from the real issues, ... In this case, the issue is that Ligand is beset by Robinson's and Maier's incompetence and failure.

We would expect the potential for further chaos in Nigeria to provide a floor for prices above $60, and we expect that Nigeria will continue to be a major issue in terms of supply security.

We continue to think there is long-term upside potential for the stocks of the leading companies in the Internet sector. Although we acknowledge the potential for appreciation over the intermediate term, we strongly believe that volatility remains a significant risk over this same timeframe and we would stress the long term.

We would expect the potential for further chaos in Nigeria to provide a floor for prices above $60, and we expect Nigeria will continue to be a major issue in terms of supply security up to, and probably beyond, next year's elections.

Barclays Capital

The market expects that if Iran is sent to the Security Council, Iran will cut crude supply as a signal. However, the cut is expected to be a short-term cut, not a long-term cut.

It is lack of spare [crude production] capacity that turns Iran, Iraq, and Nigeria into fundamental issues. Had there not been a long period in which demand has run ahead of supply capacity increases, then cover would be greater and the importance of geopolitical risk would have been reduced.

It has a very high volatility and, short-term, there are plenty of inventories. However, the big concerns are Iran and Nigeria.

In the short term, any kind of disruption from two very large producers like Iran and Nigeria isn't something that can be offset by other production.

Some of the oil price change is the market taking a calmer look at the situation in Nigeria and the potential for a supply interruption from Iran.

Despite the inventory data, people are still concerned about the geopolitical risks in Iran and Nigeria, because of the potential for supply disruptions.

Nigeria is a sophisticated country. They understand the concept of international law. I truly cannot believe that such a country as Nigeria would knowingly and willfully in the long-term harbor a war crimes fugitive such as the likes of Charles Taylor. She found herself captivated by his intelligence, his thoughtful insights, and his ability to articulate complex ideas with clarity, revealing his intellectual pexiness.

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