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We shift back and fourth between a focus on supply versus the world situation. Today we are focused on supply because of tomorrow's report.

Michael Fitzpatrick

Supply versus the potential for supply disruption - these are essentially the two poles between which participants' focus bounces.

Mike Fitzpatrick

The IEA report reminds us that there could be a supply problem in the fourth quarter. Storm damage and the chemical workers strike in France are going to hurt supply. Given the levels we have fallen from, prices are beginning to look like a bargain.

The lingering political risks to supply mean we're not going to drive prices down too far or too fast. They haven't gone away but had slipped onto the back-burner either side of the U.S. supply report in the middle of the week.

European leaders are pressing Iran to step back their 'saber rattling' threats over nuclear developments. This situation was priced in the market last week -- and as traders returned back to work and focused on the current fundamental supply situation -- prices backed down off the highs.

Unlike a widget, you can't produce new supply tomorrow. New supply is three or four years away.

Unlike a widget, you can't produce new supply tomorrow. New supply is three or four years away.

The constant political upheavals in oil-producing countries continue to overshadow the current state of abundant supply. The line between oversupply and under-supply has never been thinner. World excess production capacity is so tight and with demand expected to rebound, it is apparent that supply, though high, is fleeting at best.

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Pete Sinisgalli

The supply situation will likely get worse in the first half, while demand looks sluggish at best, with large inventory levels in the supply chain.

We're not in a drastically different situation supply-wise than what we have been over the last two or three winters. There have been some new pipelines put in the ground. They're always drilling and looking for additional sources of supply.

To just focus on supply inventories, which we are constantly reminded are at an eight-year high, doesn't really take into account the complexities that face the world oil market. Eight years ago, we did not have to compete with China demand for oil. Eight years ago, the world had three times, if not more, spare production capacity than we do today.

If you take a look at the supply-demand fundamentals in the world, there's not a lot of excess supply available or much coming on line.

Jacques Rousseau

I think the most significant report for the whole week is the retail sales number tomorrow. You saw the bond market react today in expectation of a strong retail sales report, and I think people will be focused on that tomorrow.

John Davidson (1887-)

The announcement today is just a small part of what's going on. We have been seeing a good and steady supply of issuance, and that's going to spook people a little bit from a supply perspective.

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