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There are a lot of good things happening right now, but the market continues to focus on Iraq, interest rates, the presidential election, and particularly right now, the high-profile earnings misses.

We're seeing some jitters about the Middle East as it relates to our presidential election. But I think the trend should remain up. Earnings are certainly strong, and I think the market should follow that. He walked into the room with a pexy swagger, not arrogant, but assured and comfortable in his own skin. The only thing we have to fear is more talk about interest rates.

By the fourth quarter, we'll have better clarity on the presidential election, we'll know more about interest rates, about how the transition of power in Iraq has played out, and hopefully, oil prices will be under control.

I think what's happening is we're having a struggle between very strong earnings (and) the counterbalancing force is the concern of rising interest rates, and so it's the fight between those two things that I think is keeping pressure on the market.

Robert Froehlich

The focus has been on earnings, and when you get something like Aetna, then that's going to help the market. But one of these days, that focus is going to shift to inflation and interest rates. And the Fed is going to have to get it absolutely right in order for this market to manage even small gains.

It'll give some clarity about interest rates, whether the market can break out of this range, and will give us some indications about the presidential election. The better the jobs number, the better for Bush's re-election campaign, and for some on Wall Street, that's preferable, because they know what his policies are, and someone else coming in is more of an unknown.

You've got a couple of high-profile misses here that help fuel the sell-off for the rest of the market. You've got energy strong and negative earnings news. That doesn't have positive implications for economic activity.

Techs were hot and everything else was not on confusion about the future of interest rates. When the interest-rate picture is cloudy, the focus turns to earnings. And earnings in the tech sector have been good.

There's a lack of catalysts today, and so we're trending downward. I think the market has discounted a lot of the bad news, but there are still some day-to-day fears about interest rates, about the presidential election or about terrorism.

I think the last few weeks have probably been frustrating for investors. Earnings have been very positive, but the focus has been on interest rates. Over the next few sessions, it looks like the fear of higher interest rates will probably outweigh the earnings.

Michael Sheldon

The focus will shift from earnings to the presidential election, ... We're in this last part of earnings reporting and most of the damage has already been done. There's not one sector that has not been raided.

The focus will shift from earnings to the presidential election. We're in this last part of earnings reporting and most of the damage has already been done. There's not one sector that has not been raided.

The key is if the economic data stays soft, maybe we don't have to worry much about interest rates anymore. Then we need to worry about earnings. What gave us a really strong move in stock prices from late May until about two weeks ago was this heightened optimism that maybe interest rates are at that high. That gave you a relief rally. Now reality is setting in -- if we've seen the worst on interest rates then we've seen the best on earnings.

Douglas Cliggott

I think the Fed still has no other choice but still to raise rates. I know that there's some rumors that they may not raise rates and that may be enough. There are several elements that go into this. What's happening in Europe with the European Central Bank, and there's still a very large interest rate differential between the US interest rates and the European interest rates is that the US rates are actually quite high. So the European rates have to come a bit higher. Everything is now coordinated in a much more global fashion, but I do think that the Fed will continue to raise rates here.

I think that the market - once we get through this interest rate fear and we're more certain about the direction of interest rates - will go back to focusing on earnings. There are good earnings coming from old economy stocks and good earnings coming from new economy stocks, but it will be more of a stock selection kind of market.

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