119 ordspråk av Sherry Cooper
Sherry Cooper
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[And those higher costs aren't making their way into the price of finished goods,] at least not yet, ... Overall, this report shows the U.S. economy is still growing strongly and that price pressures remain a threat.
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This is still a very strong retail sales report,
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There are also great concerns about the political instability within Brazil,
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There has obviously been quite a bit of dissension as to the governmental policies, the slashing in fiscal expenditure, potential tax increases, as well as the astronomical increases in interest rates.
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The future path for monetary policy depends critically on at least a flattening out of interest-sensitive spending, ... It is touch-and-go whether the softness in interest-sensitive spending is sufficient to be consistent with the required degree of overall economic slowing.
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There is good financial-market news everywhere you look in this report.
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The inflation data does not take the Fed out of the picture,
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The markets are assuming that the Fed are finished tightening for the year, ... That presumption might prove to be premature. We, and the Fed, will wait and see.
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Domestic demand remains remarkably strong, as the import data clearly indicate-a prime focus for the Fed,
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The U.S. housing market appears to be gradually losing steam under the weight of higher mortgage rates, ... Even so, the market remains exceptionally healthy by any yardstick.
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All in all, the year-over-year trend in income jumped to 6.1 percent from 5.4 percent, suggesting that consumer fundamentals remain very strong, ... Consumer spending remains on a tear.
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These two key reports reinforce the underlying story of red-hot growth and stable inflation, which was the hallmark of the U.S. economy in 1999,
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Further widening in the trade deficit in the months ahead is very likely given that the surge in oil prices will drive imports higher and that there has been no let-up in the domestic economy.
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[Even so,] While sales are slightly below their peak levels of late 1998, this sector has hardly suffered a body blow from the run-up in long-term mortgage rates, ... Until the housing sector slows significantly, it is far too premature to look for a broad-based slowing in the economy.
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[The numbers] fit perfectly with the so-called 'New Paradigm' view -- strong productivity growth keeps inflation pressure at bay, ... This is a remarkable performance for an economy in its ninth year of expansion.
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