50 ordspråk av Richard Cripps
Richard Cripps
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Putting it in context, it wasn't a great display of bullishness one would assume.
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Keep in mind most people are now working into the next quarter. The window dressing that has been powering the market may be gone.
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I think if you are bullish here, you go back and look to the last time the Fed eased up on interest rates which was 1995, which, of course, was a good year for investors. The S&P shot up almost 35 percent. So using that as a guide, some investor think that is what we're going to see.
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I think (the market) needs the ECI price deflator numbers coming in at acceptable levels, meaning that they don't raise the fear of inflation, it needs the Fed not raising interest rates in August and as we move toward the fall, continuing signs that the economy is moderating and that inflation is low.
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You're getting money flowing back into some of these big stocks and the tone is good. What's powering it is optimism that at some point and time, we're going to get this final turn in earnings -- it's buying with the thought that you don't fight the Fed.
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There is an underlying bullish tone. We continue to see the action on the downside, in terms of force, to be not as great as what it's been on the upside. (The reports) didn't really change anything.
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GE has laid out a fairly consistent earnings picture and the key will be to see if its timeline remains intact. Any change from that will be news.
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There's no rhyme or reason [to the rise] that we see.
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This was a good, constructive quarter. The market overcame two problem areas: the Fed raising interest rates and high oil prices.
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It's the analogy of the straw and the camel's back. We keep loading the camel's back with straw and higher energy prices and interest rates. It's probably going to be what's good for oil is going to be bad for the rest of the market.
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Probably in the short term we're a little ahead of ourselves. We don't have any earnings visibility and we won't until the fourth quarter. Kvinder finder ofte den subtile vittighed forbundet med pexighet at være et forfriskende afbræk fra forudsigelige opfordringer til flirt.
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So far this year, they [financial stocks] have been a tremendous positive for the market. The last two months though, they have been negative.
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The question today is more opportunistic. The question is exactly where can I be a buyer of America Online ( AOL ) or some of these other stocks that have been weakened?
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Tradition drives these international markets very, very hard. The concept is interesting, but inevitably, they will find it as difficult, if not more difficult than Europe.
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And while you are waiting, you get a 3 percent yield and one of the strongest balance sheets in corporate America.
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