109 ordspråk av Michael Carty

Michael Carty

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Although people are somewhat concerned about where the economy is going, some rational exuberance is finally entering the market. Investors have been so pessimistic for so long that it seemed to be endemic, but people are beginning to believe there's an end in sight to all of this (bad news).

The markets seem to be rising as a consequence of the fact that the Federal Reserve had decreased the interest rate by half a percentage point and the fact that people began to believe the Fed was going to do whatever it can do to continue to see the economy turn around.

They're going to be upwards, ... But it's only going to be in select sectors.

I think we're seeing investors being convinced that we hit the bottom and from here we'll go through some softening of the economy. But if we're going to get back into the market, we want to do it now because the market is a leading indicator.

Earnings continue to remain strong, even for the technology companies, so I think, with the Federal Reserve saying we're afraid of a recession more than inflation, you're seeing bargain hunters coming in.

I think a couple quarters down the road, the worst will be over. This is a terribly oversold market and it is undervalued.

We are not looking for any major increases in interest rates.

I don't think that anyone is immune to interest rates. Although the Justice Department said it wanted to divide (Microsoft) into two parts, the judge seemed to be disinclined to do that. However, if the Justice Department does decide to do that, we're going to have a difficult time in the near-term.

In most election years, stocks are up. But when you think about the kinds of policies that are going to be implemented, the market gets a little worried. So, I would say up until the election you will see some very interesting dynamics. If they feel that a demonstration is favorable, drug stocks will get in then and all of a sudden the drug stocks will start looking hot. If the economy seems to be moving along nicely the high-tech new economy-type stocks will continue to do well,

We know Katrina had a negative impact on earnings, ... They (investors) are looking more forward than backwards on earnings.

It's one of these choppy days, where there are a lot of different factors at play.

There are some negatives out there, but manufacturing and factory orders seem to be coming back and there will be a lot of rebuilding down in the Southeast. I think we've basically been too negative.

I think the market came down over the last few days and is recovering now, and that recovery can probably continue through the end of the week.

If a company is so sure that their stock is a bargain that they're willing to buy it back, that's reassuring.

We're seeing a little turnaround, after so much negative news. It's also the end of the quarter, so portfolio managers need to do a little window dressing.

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