226 ordspråk av John Hughes
John Hughes
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(Pride Petroleum) is not a household name. A lot of energy stocks have had pretty good moves of late, ... up around 15-to-20 percent. Pride is kind of a smaller player in the area, just kind of a stock that has a good technical pattern, a good chart, and is being dragged up by the rest of the group, and with higher energy prices we think that one can do better.
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There's just a lot of nervousness out there and the trading is reflecting that. We're going to need some sort of resolution in terms of Pakistan and India and some sort of corporate catalyst before things can really turn around, ... In the short term, that doesn't seem to be there.
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It's the same problems we've been seeing. All the tech news out today (Wednesday) isn't that bad, really, it's just also not good, ... So again, there is just no motivation to buy, no positive catalyst.
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But given all the negatives, investors should also consider the positive side. The market is discounting the bad news. We know the economy is terrible and corporate profits in trouble. With that kind of a backdrop, that's when we get a snap-back rally. Investors need to be on the look out for it.
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President Bush's speech relieved some fears that war is imminent, it boosted the overseas markets and gave us a little short-covering rally at the open, but I'm not that impressed. There's nothing behind it,
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We've got low volume and not a whole lot of new buying interest. You're just not there yet from a technical standpoint. It's going to be choppy for the next few days.
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I think when you look at the rally last week, the behavior we're seeing from the market today is pretty constructive, ... We're digesting the gains from last week, and if historical trends prove right, we should close the week a little higher. Technically and objectively, the market is doing everything it can.
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We're getting to the year-end period and stocks are starting to drift. You're seeing that today, ... There's still a lot of uncertainty about the economy and about the change in Bush's economic team. We're also coming off a period where the Dow rose for 8 weeks and so you're seeing a little pullback. You saw it last week and I think it's continuing.
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You had a pretty good day yesterday -- there was broadness in the rally and good volume, ... We're taking a day to fill in here. Things still look relatively positive, it's just consolidation or a rest after yesterday's action.
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I'd focus on Intel, ... If they can say something encouraging or at least, not discouraging, that could help the semiconductor sector sustain and build on the recent gains its seen.
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It's been volatile and sloppy today. I'm not pleased with the action, ... But we're not down that much, so you've got to put it in perspective. There's a lot of confusion about the confidence number and the bond market's reaction.
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The news is all positive, but it was what the market had built in, ... There was nothing spectacular about the numbers. The market is still in a correction phase, and it will continue for the next four or five weeks -- at least through Labor Day.
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I think it's a pretty constructive day, ... It was nice that you got some more encouraging economic news. This week was a stealthy-type rally...There really isn't any selling pressure out there, there seems to be more buying pressure.
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Intel already raised their numbers a few weeks ago, so that won't have a big impact on trade, but the employment number could. It's the missing piece in the recovery, ... If you could get something positive from that number, you could see a stock reaction to the upside, or at least a continuation of what you've been seeing. If it's disappointing, you could see some selling.
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I think consolidation is kind of the theme here. It's been there for the past few days and I think it will continue. I don't think there's a big risk for a major decline out there, but I don't think there's much out there that's going to change what's going on.
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