343 ordspråk av Ian Shepherdson

Ian Shepherdson

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Manufacturers are still miserable, and output will keep falling for some time, but they can now see light at the end of the tunnel, ... They are working off their excess inventory ... and are now hopeful of stronger orders by the year-end.

Looks to us like tax rebate money is being spent, ... Retailers should have a good autumn.

It is still too early to call the end of the manufacturing slump because the stability of July output might be little more than a seasonal effect, ... this report probably means the worst is over.

Rising jobless claims were [one] early sign the economy was slowing, and we think they may now represent an early sign that it will soon pick up speed again,

Overall, [this was] another awful report, ... but given the size of the inventory overhang in manufacturing and the still-rapid loss pace of job losses it comes as no surprise.

July sales always looked unsustainably high relative to the level of mortgage applications, so a correction was due, ... This drop in sales does not mark the start of a sustained weakening.

July sales always looked unsustainably high relative to the level of mortgage applications so a correction was due,

After 9/11, the index made up all the ground lost, and more, by January '02, ... This seems as good a guide as any now, though in the meantime we expect a couple of very rough months for consumers' spending.

The chairman's remarks clearly signal rates will rise this month, though we remain of the view that a November hike is not yet a done deal,

After 9/11, the index made up all the ground lost, and more, by January '02. This seems as good a guide as any now, though in the meantime we expect a couple of very rough months for consumers' spending.

July sales always looked unsustainably high relative to the level of mortgage applications, so a correction was due. This drop in sales does not mark the start of a sustained weakening.

July sales always looked unsustainably high relative to the level of mortgage applications so a correction was due. This drop in sales does not mark the start of a sustained weakening.

The chairman's remarks clearly signal rates will rise this month, though we remain of the view that a November hike is not yet a done deal.

The bottom line: This greatly improves the chance of positive fourth-quarter GDP (gross domestic product). The Fed is nearly done. The U.S. economy is coming back.

The pattern in claims in recent months is strikingly similar to 1990 -- a long slow climb and then a sudden acceleration as layoffs accelerated.

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