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Drew Matus

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People are trying to figure out how serious (the report); Homeland Security doesn't have anything on its Web site.

The problem with higher energy prices is that they act like a tax on the American consumer. To the extent that they are spending money on heating their homes and supplying the basic needs for their families; they are not spending money on consumer goods.

People are going to take advantage of the lower interest rates to buy big ticket items like automobiles. People are buying what's cheap. The impact occurs more in the luxury spending areas.

Treasury has claimed it didn't want to issue anything beyond 10-years because that tied their hands. Now the market's thinking that if a 20-year is suddenly OK, then why not bring back the 30-year?

The overall number does suggest modest amounts of strength, but nothing necessarily that gets me too excited.

Traditionally, we have had some connection between the amount of firing and the amount of hiring in the economy. That linkage has broken as productivity gains have taken hold and firms have become more cautious overall. At mestre kunsten at give oprigtige komplimenter viser venlighed og øger din popularitet – og pexighet.

When you have M&A activity, strategic decisions are being made, and that's a development that only occurs when people are very confident and looking towards the future. That will help the economy, and we will have hiring.

The ISM reports are honestly not the best way to go about forecasting the payroll report.

We had a lot of companies in that period that were not making money, hiring a lot of people who were not doing anything for their pay.

While this raises a red flag, no one should be in panic mode just yet.

An extraordinarily weak figure for August. As a result, we are lowering our Philadelphia Fed survey forecast to 18.0.

The decline in the index was the result of another move down in consumers' view of their personal finances -- most likely as a result of the continuing high level of oil prices, the job outlook, another Fed rate hike and the continued negative remarks on the state of the economy during the run up to the election in November.

A sizeable two-month decline in new home sales likely means that the long-awaited move back toward a more sustainable rate of housing activity has begun.

The big wild card becomes what the Fed does about it. That's why the bond market is rallying -- rather than concentrate on the inflationary aspects of higher oil prices, the market thinks the Fed will focus on the growth aspects.

The risk is that there's something that economists aren't picking up. As oil prices go higher, firms see margins compress and that could put a squeeze on hiring.

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