66 ordspråk av Dana Johnson
Dana Johnson
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People are awfully comfortable with the outlook for stable Fed (policy), so bonds trade with the stock market.
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What we're spending our time debating is whether the Fed goes a quarter point or a half point.
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They're a little disappointing if you're looking for a strong labor market, but nothing dramatic.
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This reminds me of the famous Sherlock Holmes mystery, where the dog that didn't bark was the key. It was what Greenspan didn't say more than what he did say that got the market excited. People were ready to hear a more upbeat reading on the economy than he gave.
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It was a very disappointing report. It clearly pushes the timing of a Fed tightening further into the future. We're now calling for a Fed rate hike in the fourth quarter of 2004 instead of in August.
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There's excruciatingly slow improvement in the labor market and no reason for the Fed to withdraw any of its accommodation, given the lack of job growth.
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I guess I'm not surprised the unions are unhappy with the adjustments they are being asked to make, and I am not surprised they banded together to try to get a better deal,
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The reality is that many other people working in the auto industry are going to be asked to make painful adjustments, too, and a lot of people are going to say it's not worth it.
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I think Michigan would like nothing more than to see GM emerge as a leaner and more profitable company,
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It's certainly a concerning reading. Most of what we are seeing there is the impact of higher natural gas and other energy prices.
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I don't think one 50 basis point move (by the Fed) is likely to be enough. It's going to be very hard for the stock market to move ahead. Profit margins are not going to be expanding. There's going to be nothing to offset the higher interest rates.
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I'm looking for an unexciting kind of year; not unlike the one we're just ending.
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The next two years are going to be a real watershed for them. They absolutely must demonstrate they can stabilize their market share, because cost-cutting is not enough.
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It looks like another good year for California. Housing prices have got to slow down.
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To me, the one-two punch of the breakthrough of health care issues (with GM and the UAW) and this makes me feel better about the economy overall,
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