109 ordspråk av Bill Meehan
Bill Meehan
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I think there was a lot of optimism built into the market that a soft landing is coming and the Fed will be easing. The decline in the unemployment rate cast doubt on that scenario happening. The Fed continues to be concerned about the potential for inflation if labor markets remain very tight.
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The overwhelming key will be, as companies report, it won't be as much about what they report but what they have to say about the fourth quarter and 2001.
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Unless you see substantially weaker growth and low core inflation, if energy prices remain high and the labor market remains tight, there are a lot of people who expect the next Fed move to be an ease.
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People are still in love with technology. There are enough signs now that the market is oversold and we could get a bounce but it will be limited. It's really a traders market except for individual opportunities.
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Even though the Fed has tightened, it's not done a whole lot in the way of weakening the housing market.
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There is not enough earnings and/or revenue growth to justify valuations in a lot of the technology stocks and there is a great amount of fear that analysts will be slashing away at their earnings estimates for next year.
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We no longer and we haven't had a declining rate of inflation. Why anybody would think the Fed would be considering easing now is hard to believe.
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We're going to be winding down (earnings) and more focus will be turning toward the presidential election. However, there's not much one can do since the race appears too tight to call. On a poll-by-poll basis, you could see drug stocks impacted negatively or positively, with tobacco stocks and defense stocks similarly impacted.
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There are still too many people that have let greed remain in control and have yet to succumb to fear. There are too many people calling bottoms all over the place. People are too worried about missing the v-shaped recovery than they are about losing money and losing it they have been.
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A modest pullback in warranted.
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We can't go anywhere without bonds. The focus will continue to stay on bonds (and) we could be headed for a 10-percent correction.
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Half of the gain (in spending) was due to price increases. Mr. (Alan) Greenspan may want to convince you that inflation is relatively contained but that's hardly the case with what the data shows.
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The markets have been relatively positive. We had a big run in the semiconductors and people are willing to bet things will be just fine as long as (the Fed) continues to lower interest rates.
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It seems we've had more than enough weak economic data to conclude the Fed will cut rates on June 27.
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I don't think we're in for Armageddon, but there's not going to be any visibility on earnings. So we've got months of trading fun and investors can go to the beach.
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