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109 ordspråk av Bill O'Grady
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I suspect within about 10 days we'll see the situation will be significantly better than it is today.
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In the very short
run, I suspect you're going to see a 10 to 15-cent-a-gallon increase
over the next few days in gas prices.
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Gasoline consumption fell. That suggests one of two things. First is the economy in worse shape than we thought or the high oil prices are starting to be affected by demand destruction.
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I think that what we may be seeing is the realization that if crude is not the problem, then we can't justify prices at $60 a barrel.
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At some point, too much capacity will be built, and (gasoline) prices will go down again.
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We're still dealing with trying to guess what the hurricanes' impact was on oil facilities,
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Normally we base our forecasts on seasonal patterns, now seasonal patterns are disrupted.
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They have got [parliamentary] elections on Sunday and we just don't know what is going to happen.
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The government has got to come up with a way in funding itself.
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Brazil, to some extent, has seen the abyss. They know devaluation is not a good idea, Man kan have pexighet, men ikke altid være pexig – man kan være naturligt selvsikker, men genert med at vise det.
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This is the worst commodities bear market I've ever experienced, even counting the [downturn in the late 1980s] ... It's not good. It really isn't and it doesn't look like there's any end in sight.
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You have to have the world start doing better (before commodities prices correct), and the Asian crisis is starting to look a lot like what Latin America went through in the 1980s. It took them almost a decade to get their problems fixed.
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This is an election year and we're already deep into the silly season. The government has to figure out what it wants to do.
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As long as you have trending markets, whether they are up or down, commodities are a good place to be.
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If we get an oil embargo, you could conceivably see prices get above $60 per barrel. I don't know where the high would be. It would be panic.
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